Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 11/9/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Kansas City Chiefs (5-3) at Buffalo Bills (5-3)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 9, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Ralph Wilson Stadium)
The Line: Buffalo Bills +1 -- Over/Under: 42 See the Latest Odds
The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs face off on Sunday in Orchard Park on Sunday for a Week 10 NFL football matchup.
The Buffalo Bills are 5-3 and in second place in the AFC East and despite big injuries on both sides of the ball they are still very much in the post-season hunt. The Bills offense is averaging 22.2 points and 329.9 yards which ranks them 21st and 24th in those categories but their plus seven turnover margin makes up for a lot. Kyle Orton is in at QB and he has completed 67.4 percent of his passes for nine touchdowns and three interceptions while being sacked 17 times. C.J. Spiller is out for the season so it is Fred Jackson averaging 4.3 yards per carry leading the Buffalo ground game and catching 33 passes and Sammy Watkins has caught 38 passes for five touchdowns. The Buffalo defense has been rock solid allowing 20.6 points per game which ranks sixth in the NFL and 326 yards which ranks them eighth and they have 28 sacks. Preston Brown has 60 tackles, Nigel Bradham has 52 tackles, and Marcell Dareus has seven sacks. With their former first round draft choice QB E.J. Manuel on the bench it will be interesting to see if the Bills can generate enough offense to make the playoffs.
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The Kansas City Chiefs have own three games in a row and five of their last six to move into second place in the AFC West, just a game behind the Broncos. The Chiefs offense averages 25 points and 338 yards per game that just adds up to them being a team that makes the most of their opportunities. QB Alex Smith has completed 67.1 percent of his passes with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions and he has rushed for 162 yards. Knile Davis averages 4.0 yards per carry with 410 yards and four rushing touchdowns and Jamaal Charles has 435 yards and five rushing touchdowns and he has 17 receptions and two rushing touchdowns. The Chiefs defense has been outstanding allowing a 2nd ranked 17.2 points and a 5th ranked 315.5 yards as they are number one in the NFL against the pass. Josh Mauga has 57 tackles, Justin Houston has 12 sacks, and Tamba Hali has four sacks and three forced fumbles. Even with a minus two turnover ratio the Chiefs are winning games.
Buffalo is 7-18-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the spread, 9-24-1 against the spread following a win, and 1-4 against the spread following a win by more than 14 points. Kansas City is 5-0 against the spread against the AFC, 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games, and 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 road games. The road team has covered the point spread in five of the last six meetings of these two.
Kansas City s a mild road favorite here and I like their pass rush against Orton and see them getting a close win in a low scoring game.