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Bills vs. Packers - 12/14/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers (10-3) at Buffalo Bills (7-6)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 14, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Ralph Wilson Stadium)

The Line: Buffalo Bills +5.5 -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds


The Buffalo Bills and the Green Bay Packers face off on Sunday in Orchard Park in NFL action.

The Buffalo Bills are 7-6 this season and they are seeing their playoff hopes start to slip away losing 3 of their last 5 games. The Bills offense is averaging 21.6 points and 327.2 yards per game and they are led by Kyle Orton who has completed 64.7 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Fred Jackson leads the Bills ground attack while Anthony Dixon and Bryce Brown also are getting carries and Sammy Watkins has 58 catches and five touchdowns and Robert Woods has 52 catches. The Buffalo defense is allowing a 4th best in the NFL 18.5 points and a 5th best 311.9 yards per game. Preston Brown as 96 tackles, Nigel Bradham has 91 tackles, Mario Williams has 12 sacks, and Marcell Dareus has 10 sacks. The Bills have been accumulating talent but they seem they might fall short of the post season once again.

Bills vs. Packers - 12/14/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Green Bay Packers have won five games in a row and control the NFC North. The Packers offense is averaging a NFL best 32.5 points and a sixth best 387.5 yards per game and they are led by QB Aaron Rodgers who is having a MVP type season completing 66.3 percent of his passes with 35 touchdowns and three interceptions. Eddie Lacy has rushed for 843 and seven touchdowns and he has 36 receptions and four touchdowns and Jordy Nelson has 78 catches and 12 touchdowns and Randal Cobb has 69 catches and 10 touchdowns. The Packers defense allows 23.4 points and 374.4 yards per game with a NFL best plus 16 turnover ratio. Morgan Burnett has 100 tackles, A.J. Hawk has 80 tackles, and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix has 77 tackles. The Packers are looking to gain home field advantage in the NFC Playoffs.

Buffalo is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games against a team with a winning road record, 8-18-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the spread, and 1-4 against the spread after rushing for less than 90 yards in their previous game. Green Bay is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games, 21-7-1 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 2-5 against the spread in Sunday games following a Monday Night game. The favorite has covered the point spread in the last four meetings of these two.

The Packers are just rolling and betting against them doesn’t seem to be a great strategy so I will take them here. 

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