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Patriots vs. Dolphins - 12/14/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Dolphins (7-6) at New England Patriots (10-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 14, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -7 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds


The New England Patriots and the Miami Dolphins face off on Sunday in Foxboro in a NFL AFC rivalry matchup.

The New England Patriots are a win away from clinching the AFC East but it is still a tight battle for home field as well as a bye in the playoffs. The Patriots are averaging 30.8 points per game and 381.7 yards and they are led by future Hall of Fame QB Tom Brady who has completed 64.7 percent of his passes with 30 touchdowns and seven interceptions. It is running back by committee with Jonas Gray and LeGarrette Blount being the main ball carriers and Julian Edelman is the leading receiver with 85 catches and three touchdowns and Rob Gronkowski has 73 catches and 10 touchdowns. The Patriots defense is allowing 20.5 points and 349.8 yards per game and they are plus 10 in turnover ratio. Jamie Collins has 95 tackles, Don’t’a Hightower has 72 tackles, and Rob Ninkovich has 7.0 sacks. The Patriots are looking like one of he top teams in the NFL.

Patriots vs. Dolphins - 12/14/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Miami Dolphins are a game over .500 and they are watching their playoff hopes slip away. The Dolphins offense is averaging 24.2 points and 333.6 yards per game led by QB Ryan Tannehill who has completed 66.7 percent f his passes with 21 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Lamar Miller leads Miami in rushing with 782 yards and six touchdowns and Jarvis Landry has 63 catches and five touchdowns and Mike Wallace has 57 catches and seven touchdowns. The Dolphins defense allows a seventh best in the NFL 20 points per game and a sixth best 326.8 yards and they are plus four in turnovers. Jelani Jenkins has 99 tackles, Rashad Jones has 62 tackles, and Cameron Wake has 9.5 sacks. The Dolphins need this one or it will be nearly impossible for them to make the playoffs.

New England is 5-1 against the spread in their last six games, 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games, and 7-0 against the spread at home against a team with a winning road record. Miami is 5-2 against the spread against the AFC, 5-2 against the spread following a loss of 14 points or more, and 30-12 against the spread in their last 42 road games against a team with a winning home record. The home team has covered the point spread in the last five meetings of these two.

Normally I would think the Dolphins stand up here but instead this is clearly a very bad spot for them and I look for the Patriots to pour it on. 

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