Chiefs vs. Chargers - 12/28/14 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Diego Chargers (9-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (8-7)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 28, 2014 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 -- Over/Under: 42 See the Latest Odds
The San Diego Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs play a key AFC matchup Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium.
The San Diego Chargers have won four of their last six games and clinch a playoff spot with a win. Philip Rivers is completing 67 percent of his passes for 31 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. Rivers has five touchdowns and five picks in his last two games, and the Chargers have 53 passing plays of 20 or more yards. Malcom Floyd and Antonio Gates have combined for more than 1,500 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns while Eddie Royal has 13 receptions in his last two games. The Chargers ground attack is averaging 3.4 yards per carry, as Branden Oliver leads the way with 511 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, the San Diego Chargers are allowing 21.9 points, 344.1 yards, and they’ve forced 22 sacks and 18 turnovers. Eric Weddle leads San Diego with 109 tackles and Corey Liuget has 11 tackles for loss.
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The Kansas City Chiefs have lost four of their last five games and need a win to give themselves a shot at the playoffs. Alex Smith is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 18 touchdowns and six interceptions. Smith has two touchdowns and zero picks in his last two games, and the Chiefs have 40 passing plays of 20 or more yards. Travis Kelce and Dwayne Bowe have combined for more than 1,500 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Albert Wilson has eight receptions in his last two games. The Chiefs ground game is averaging 4.6 yards per carry, as Jamaal Charles leads the way with 979 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs are allowing 18.3 points, 328.5 yards, and they’ve forced 39 sacks and 10 turnovers. Josh Mauga leads KC with 95 tackles and Justin Houston has 18 sacks.
The Chargers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Chargers are the better overall team here and gets in the playoffs with a victory. I don't trust the Chiefs with the way they've been playing over the last month. Give me San Diego in an outright victory.