Patriots vs. Ravens - 1/10/15 Divisional Playoffs Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Ravens (10-6) at New England Patriots (12-4)
NFL Football: Saturday, January 10, 2015 at 4:35 pm (Gillette Stadium)
The Line: New England Patriots -7 -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots play Saturday afternoon in the divisional round of the playoffs at Gillette Stadium.
The Baltimore Ravens are coming off their upset win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in the wild card round and could reach their third conference championship in the last four years. Joe Flacco is known for playing his best football in the playoffs and, like the Ravens, have built a reputation of finding ways to win playoff games on the road. To win this game, the Ravens are going to turn to their defense that’s allowed 17 or less points in four of their last five games and is built with one of the top defensive lines. A combination of Terrell Suggs and Elvis Dumervil is sure to give the Patriots offensive line issues and pressure has rattled Tom Brady in the past. Offensively, this is a game where Steve Smith has to step up, as he hasn’t found the end zone in four straight games.
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The New England Patriots have won three of their last four games and are looking to reach their third straight conference championship. Of course, the Pats are going to go as far as Brady takes them, as he’s tossed for 33 touchdowns and is completing 64.1 percent of his passes. Brady has to play a great game in order for the Patriots to win, especially considering they’ve lost four of their last six games when he throws at least two interceptions. However, the Patriots have become more balanced offensively as of late with the emergence of Jonas Gray and the addition of LeGarrette Blount. Defensively, the Patriots have a few guys who can pressure Flacco such as Rob Ninkovich and Chandler Jones but you have to worry about a pass defense that’s ranked 17th in the league.
The Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 playoff road games and 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC. The Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff home games. The Ravens are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England and the road team is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
The Ravens not only have a history of giving Brady and the Pats fits, but they're just road warriors who feed off the underdog role. I give the Ravens a solid shot of winning this game outright but with a free touchdown on the board, I'm not sure how you pass that up here. Ravens should cover this game easily.