Buffalo Bills vs. New York Giants - 10/4/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Buffalo Bills vs. New York Giants - 10/4/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

New York Giants (1-2) at Buffalo Bills (2-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 4, 2015 at 1:00 pm (Ralph Wilson Stadium)

The Line: Buffalo Bills -5.5 -- Over/Under: 47


The Buffalo Bills and the New York Giants face off on Sunday in Orchard Park at Ralph Wilson Stadium in a week four NFL matchup.

The Buffalo Bills are off to a 2-1 start and are coming off of a week three destruction of the Dolphins. The Bills offense is averaging 33.3 points and 373 yards per game and they are plus five in turnover ratio. Buffalo QB Tyrod Taylor has completed 74.4 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and three interceptions and he has rushed for 96 yards and a touchdown. LeSean McCoy is the Bills top option rushing the football averaging 3.4 yards per carry but Karlos Williams is the leading rusher with 186 yards and Percy Harvin leads Buffalo in receptions with 16. The Bills defense is allowing 22.7 points and 400.7 yards with five interceptions, six sacks, and three fumble recoveries. Preston Brown is the Bills leading tackler with 25, Corey Graham has 23, and Bacari Rambo is among those players with 17. The Bills appear to be a contender to make the playoffs this season.

The New York Giants are 1-2 this season and they are coming off of extended rest after beating the Redskins last Thursday Night. He Giants offense is averaging 26 points and 346.7 yards and they are plus five in turnover margin. New York QB Eli Manning has completed 64.8 percent of his passes with four touchdowns without an interception. Rashad Jennings leads the Giants rushing attack but he is averaging just 2.9 yards per carry and Andre Williams is averaging 3.3 yards and Odell Beckham is the leading receiver with 19 catches. The Giants defense is allowing 24 points and a 31st ranked 410.3 yards per game with four interceptions, three sacks, and four fumble recoveries. Uani’ Unga leads the Giants D with 26 tackles and Prince Amukamara and Devon Kennard each have 20 tackles. The Giants looked miserable in their first two games but bounced back nicely in their week three win.

Buffalo is 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games, 7-19-1 against the spread following a win, and 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games. New York is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games, 1-7 against the spread against a team with a winning record, and 5-2 against the spread following a win. The road team is 3-0-1 against the spread in the last four meetings of these two.

The total is set at 46 but that looks to be so low as the game has the appearance of defense but this is an offensive league so my free pick in this one is the over. My stronger play is on the winning team against the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.