Detroit Lions vs. Philadelphia Eagles - 11/26/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by USA TODAY Sports
Philadelphia Eagles (4-6) at Detroit Lions (3-7)
NFL Football: Thursday, November 26, 2015 at 12:30 pm (Ford Field)
The Line: Detroit Lions +1.5 -- Over/Under: 45
The Detroit Lions and the Philadelphia Eagles face off on Thursday for the annual Thanksgiving Day NFL football battle.
The Detroit Lions are 3-7 this season and they are playing their best football of the year. The Lions offense is averaging 18.5 points and 336.4 yards per game and they have a minus 10 turnover ratio. Detroit QB Matthew Stafford has completed 64.2 percent of his passes with 15 touchdowns and 12 interceptions while being sacked 26 times. Ameer Abdullah leads the Lions in rushing with 284 yards and Calvin Johnson leads in receptions with 59 and three touchdowns and Golden Tate has 52 catches. The Lions defense is allowing 27.4 points and 367.2 yards per game with four interceptions, 24 sacks, and 11 fumble recoveries. Stephen Tulloch has 70 tackles to lead Detroit, Josh Bynes has 56 tackles, and Ezekiel Ansah had 8.0 sacks. The Lions need to win out to have any chance to make the playoffs but likely they are playing for next year.
The Philadelphia Eagles are 4-6 this season but that puts them in the thick of the race for the NFC East. The Eagles offense is averaging 22.9 points and 375 yards per game and they have a plus one turnover ratio. Mark Sanchez has taken over as the Eagles QB for the injured Sam Bradford and he has completed 62.5 percent of his passes with two touchdowns and four interceptions. DeMarco Murray is the Eagles leading rusher with 515 yards and four touchdowns and Jordan Matthews has 55 receptions. The Eagles defense is allowing 22.9 points and 374.4 yards per game with 12 interceptions, 24 sacks, and 16 fumble recoveries. Malcolm Jenkins leads Philadelphia with 67 tackles, Nolan Carroll has 56 tackles, and Jordan Hicks has 50 tackles. The Eagles appear to be in disarray but with the NFC being so weak the remain a factor with a solid chance of making the playoffs.
Detroit is 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games against the NFC, 4-10 against the spread in their last 14 games, and 1-5 against the spread following a win. Philadelphia is 5-2 against the spread in their last seven road games against a team with a losing home record, 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 November games, and 0-7 against the spread following a double-digit home loss. The home team has covered the point spread in five of the last seven meetings of these two.
With the total set at 45 in an indoor stadium and one team with a quick offense this looks like an easy over and that is my free pick and a strong one.I also have a pick on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area.