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Broncos vs. Patriots - 11/29/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (10-0) at Denver Broncos (8-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 29, 2015 at 8:30 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)

The Line: Denver Broncos +3 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds


The New England Patriots and Denver Broncos meet Sunday night at Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

The New England Patriots look to remain undefeated by picking up their seventh straight road victory. Tom Brady is completing 66.3 percent of his passes for 3,320 yards, 25 touchdowns and four interceptions. Brady has five touchdown passes in his last three games. Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola have combined for 1,363 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Brandon LaFell has 17 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 92 yards per contest, and LeGarrette Blount leads the way with 569 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 18.2 points and 341.3 yards per game. Patrick Chung leads the Patriots with 53 tackles, Chandler Jones has 10.5 sacks and Malcolm Butler has 11 pass deflections. Danny Amendola, Jamie Collins and Tre' Jackson are questionable.

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Broncos vs. Patriots - 11/29/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Denver Broncos look to run away with the AFC West after splitting their last four games. Brock Osweiler is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 396 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Osweiler has 61 pass attempts since the 2014 season. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 1,514 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Owen Daniels has 28 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 94.4 yards per contest, and Ronnie Hillman leads the way with 528 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 18.3 points and 284.3 yards per game. Brandon Marshall leads the Broncos with 78 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has 6.5 sacks and Aqib Talib has three interceptions. Evan Mathis, Demarcus Ware and Emmanuel Sanders are questionable.

The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 12 and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Denver and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings overall.

We know Denver's defense is legit. However, I just can't bring myself to take the Broncos and Osweiler over Tom Brady. I have far more trust in the Pats quarterback than the Broncos QB who has less than 100 pass attempts the last two seasons. I'll gladly lay the field goal here. 

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