Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills - 11/29/15 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by USA TODAY Sports
Buffalo Bills (5-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-5)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 29, 2015 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -4 -- Over/Under: 41
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills face off on Sunday in Week 12 NFL action.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 5-5 this season ad have six games to make a run at the playoffs. The Chiefs offense is averaging 25.7 points and 345.1 yards per game and they have a plus 10 turnover ratio. KC QB Alex Smith has completed 63.9 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. Charcandrick West leads the Chiefs in rushing with 373 yards and three touchdowns and Travs Kelce leads in receptions with 50 and three touchdowns. The Kansas City defense is allowing 19.8 points and 327.4 yards per game with 14 interceptions, 29 sacks, and five fumble recoveries. Derrick Johnson leads the Chiefs in tackles with 59, Ron Parker has 45, and Justin Houston has 7.5 sacks. The Chiefs have played well the last two weeks blowing out division opponents.
The Buffalo Bills are 5-5 this season and are coming off of a deflating loss at New England on Monday Night. The Bills offense is averaging 24.4 points and 340.3 yards per game and they are plus five in turnover ratio. Buffalo QB Tyrod Taylor has completed 67.9 percent of his passes 11 touchdowns and four interceptions and he has rushed for two touchdowns. LeSean McCoy is the Bills leading rusher with 610 yards and three touchdowns and Charles Clay is the top pass catcher with 41. The Buffalo defense is allowing 22.7 points and 350.2 yards per game with 11 interceptions, 15 sacks, and eight fumble recoveries. Corey Graham is the Bills top tackler with 84, Preston Brown has 80 tackles, and Nigel Bradham has 55 tackles. The Bills have been inconsistent but with Sammy Watkins healthy we may see more of the downfield passing game.
Kansas City is 4-0 against the spread in their last four games, 4-1 against the spread following a win, and 5-2 against the spread against the AFC. Buffalo is 7-1 against the spread following a loss, 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six road games, and 9-4-1 against the spread against the AFC. The road team has covered the point spread in six of the last seven meetings of these two.
This one should be tight so watch the line movement but with the Bills playing on a short week and back-to-back on the road I have to take the Chiefs here.