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Chiefs at Texans - 1/9/16 NFL Wild Card Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) at Houston Texans (9-7)

NFL Football: Saturday, January 9, 2016 at 4:35 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans +3 -- Over/Under: 40 See the Latest Odds


The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans play a wild card playoff game Saturday at NRG Stadium.

The Kansas City Chiefs hope to get out of the wild card spot for the first time since 2003. Alex Smith is completing 65.3 percent of his passes for 3,486 yards, 20 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Smith has five touchdown passes in his last three games. Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce have combined for 1,963 yards and 13 touchdowns while Albert Wilson has 35 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 127.8 yards per contest, and Charcandrick West leads the way with 634 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 17.9 points and 329.3 yards per game. Derrick Johnson leads the Chiefs with 116 tackles, Justin Houston has 7.5 sacks and Marcus Peters has eight interceptions. Mitch Morse, Dee Ford and Husain Abdullah are questionable.

Chiefs at Texans - 1/9/16 NFL Wild Card Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Houston Texans look for their third playoff victory in franchise history. Brian Hoyer is completing 60.7 percent of his passes for 2,606 yards, 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Hoyer has four touchdown passes in his last three games. DeAndre Hopkins and Nate Washington have combined for 2,179 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Cecil Shorts III has 42 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 108.2 yards per contest, and Alfred Blue leads the way with 698 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 19.6 points and 310.2 yards per game. Brian Cushing leads the Texans with 110 tackles, J.J. Watt has 17.5 sacks and Johnathan Joseph has 22 pass deflections. Cecil Shorts, Jadeveon Clowney and Jeoffrey Pagan are questionable.

The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Texans are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games in January and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Houston.

Everybody keeps talking about the Chiefs winning streak, but they've beaten just two teams during that stretch with winning records. One was against the Steelers without Big Ben and the other was against the Broncos with a banged up and horrible Peyton Manning. I'm not impressed. I love the Texans defense and think the home crowd will help as well. I also don't trust Andy Reid in big games. Give me the Texans and the free field goal, as I think Houston will win this outright. 

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