Indianapolis Colts at Cincinnati Bengals- 9/1/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Indianapolis Colts (8-8) at Cincinnati Bengals (12-5)
NFL Football: Thursday, September 1, 2016 at 7:30 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -4 -- Over/Under: 38 See the Latest Odds
The Cincinnati Bengals look to defend home turf when the host the visiting Indianapolis Colts on Thursday to close out both teams respective 2016 preseasons.
The Indianapolis Colts dropped their second consecutive game, falling 33-23 to the Philadelphia Eagles last Saturday. Starting QB Andrew Luck saw the majority of the action, completing 13 of 18 passes for 134 yards. Backup Scott Tolzien went 5-9 for 55 yards and third-stringer Stephen Morris saw the main workload down the stretch completing 7 of 11 for 144 yards and a 9-yard touchdown pass to Trey Williams. Robert Turbin led the way for the Colts ground crew, registering 24 yards on four carries, which is almost double what the rest of the team had on the ground combined. The Colts as a whole put up a measly 39 yards on 17 carries. Donte Moncrief led the way in receiving for Indy, hauling in 6 passes for 58 yards, while T.Y. Hilton caught 3 passes for 38 yards in a pretty balanced aerial attack for the Colts who had 5 different receivers put up at least 30 receiving yards. The Colts defense kind of showed up, putting up a sack and an interception, the big play on the non-offensive end came by way of special teams, as Jordan Todman blocked a punt in the end zone and recovered it for a touchdown.
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The Cincinnati Bengals gave up 15 4th quarter points to drop a 26-21 decision to the hosting Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday. Starting QB Andy Dalton got the first few series and made the most of it, going 6-10 for 77 yards and a touchdown while backup A.J. McCarron completed 8 of 12 for 107 yards and a touchdown of his own. Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill continue to battle for the Bengals starting running back slot, with Bernard using his 3 carries to put up 27 yards, and Hill putting up 21 yards on his 8 carries. The Bengals as a team turned their 29 carries into 79 yards, their second highest output of the preseason. Cincinnati had 13 different receivers catch a pass, but only 2 had more than one reception.6th round pick Cody Core caught the game high 53 yard completion on his only reception of the came, to lead the Bengals receivers. The Bengals defense however, failed to record a sack or pick off the Jags, although they did force a fumble off of Jags running back T.J. Yeldon.
Indianapolis is 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 Thursday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 on field turf, while the over is 6-2 in their last 8 vs. AFC. Cincinnati is 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The home team has covered the spread in the last 4 meetings.
I don’t know how much faith I have in either of these teams backups, who are going to see the majority of the game action. So when in doubt, take the points. This just feels like a game that’ll end on a last second field goal, even if it’s just the preseason.
Give me Indy and the points.