Week 1 NFL Survivor Pool Picks
NFL Week 1 Survivor Pool Picks
NFL Football Week One
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Welcome back, everyone. With the NFL regular season slated to kick off this Thursday with a Super Bowl rematch we are back with this season’s week one installment for all of your Survivor Pool needs. The way this piece works is we will profile which three games we feel strongest about (Top Plays), two games to stay away from (Pool Breakers), and one team you might want to take a flier on (Pool Makers). Without further adieu, here is your Week 1 Survivor Pool breakdown:
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Seattle Seahawks vs Miami Dolphins
This should come as no surprise as it is currently listed as a double digit spread in favour of the home side and is the only such line on the board for week one. The Seahawks look poised for another potential Super Bowl run as they are stacked across the board and have had another year of grooming their steadily improving offense. The loss of Marshawn Lynch and Bruce Irvin may be a concern for some but they are a top five team in the NFL heading into the season and get the Dolphins at home who will be coming across the country for their opener. Miami did make some moves to shore up the front seven but their secondary is woeful and Russell Wilson should have no issues ripping them apart early and often here. Miami may stick around for the first quarter, but I think the Seahawks open it up and start the season in fashion with a comfortable victory.
Houston Texans vs Chicago Bears
The Texans begin a much anticipated season at home against the lowly Chicago Bears who are in for another tough season with Jay Cutler behind center. Houston did bring in Brock Osweiler to be the new guy behind center and that should help Deandre Hopkins continue to grow as he has had a laundry list of dreadful signal callers and has put up video game numbers nonetheless. Add in a strong run game anchored by Lamar Miller and a defense led by JJ Watt and Jadeveon Clowney that should feast on Cutler and this game looks like a no brainer for the home side who again are considered favourites to win the AFC South this season. The Bears made some additions in the form of Kevin White and Danny Trevathan but it won’t be enough on the road in their season debut as this group looked very lackluster in the preseason and that continues on the road against the Texans.
Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots
It is very rare to have the Patriots in this section, at least on the losing end of a game, but the circumstances here are too overbearing as this game has the makeup of potentially being a nightmare for the visitors. Arizona is slated by many to be the favourite to hoist the Lombardi Trophy this season as they have a potent offense, a stingy defense, and a coaching staff led by Bruce Arians and while he will be opposed by one of the very best in this one I think the disposal of talent has the scales tipped in Arizona’s favour here. Jimmy Garropolo will make the start and with guys like Patrick Peterson, Tyrann Mathieu, and former Pats defensive end Chandler Jones now wearing red and white and looking to make a statement I think the Patriots offense is in trouble and could sputter in their season opener. New England’s defense is solid led by Jamie Collins but Arizona can ball on offense as Carson Palmer has three strong options through the air and David Johnson is being pegged as a top five running back already. This is a strong play but you might be better off waiting on the Cards for a matchup that looks more in the bag.
Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles
This may shock some to not see this one as a part of the top three plays and even more so as a game to stay away from but the Eagles seem to have a thing about underachieving early in the season and this is a game I do not like in any capacity. Cleveland are poised to finish as one of the worst teams in the league this season and we should see them drafting as a top five team in the draft but the Eagles aren’t in much better shape and are now throwing in a rookie quarterback who had a very short preseason stint thanks to injured ribs. The Browns have some play makers with Robert Griffin at quarterback, Duke Johnson and Isaiah Crowell running the ball, and Terrelle Pryor and Gary Barnidge catching passes. The Eagles should be better as the season moves along as Jordan Matthews is primed for a big year, Zach Ertz is a solid tight end option, and Ryan Mathews now has the back field all to himself. However, this game looks like an absolute mess and in a lose-and-you’re-out type format there are better options for you to take.
Minnesota Vikings at Tennessee Titans
This game fall into the same category as the one above as many have the Vikings pegged to go on a serious run to the playoffs again this season but expectations may be cooling now that Teddy Bridgewater is out and some combination of Shaun Hill and Sam Bradford are in. The Vikes on paper do look better than the Titans and still have the ultimate x-factor in Adrian Peterson who will be leaned on heavily once again this season, and the Vikings’ defense is much better than Tennessee’s and it isn’t even close. However, the Titans brought in some major help to shore up the offensive line which should give Marcus Mariota ample time to throw the football and with Rishard Matthews, Delanie Walker, and Tajae Sharpe at his disposal I think the Titans offense could surprise some people. Derrick Henry and Demarco Murray should be solid and in this game against the Vikings I think the Titans can stay close and this is one I would highly recommend to stay away from, especially if Hill gets the call over Bradford.
Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers
This one is interesting as it does violate one rule of thumb of most Survivor plays as it is never wise to lock in a divisional game, and in terms of an under the radar play this one isn’t much of a reach as the Chiefs are expected by many to win the AFC West this season. However, this one is expected to be closer than people think according to the oddsmakers as Jamaal Charles will be out of the lineup and with Justin Houston sidelined indefinitely the Chiefs are seen as a team with something to prove heading into week one and against a divisional foe with Phillip Rivers throwing the ball on the other side it could be a cause for concern. However, this Chiefs offense is still in good hands with Spencer Ware running the ball and both Jeremy Maclin and Travis Kelce are solid security blankets and the Chiefs defense does still feature Marcus Peters and Eric Berry and while Rivers will get his I fully expect the crowd at Arrowhead to leave with a smile. The Chiefs are probably better served later in the season but if you’re looking to buck the trend and stay away from the top three this week, the Chiefs are my play.
Best of luck in your pools. See you next week. Follow me on Twitter: @KyleSCP