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Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans - 9/18/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (1-0) at Houston Texans (1-0)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 18, 2016 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -2 -- Over/Under: 43 See the Latest Odds


A pair of undefeated teams face off at NRG Stadium as the Houston Texans host the Kansas City Chiefs in week 2 NFL action.

The Kansas City Chiefs came all the way back from a 24-3 deficit early in the 3rd quarter to defeat the San Diego Chargers 33-27 in overtime, marking the largest comeback in franchise history. Alex Smith completed 34 of his 48 attempts for 363 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 pick. Spencer Ware led the Chiefs on the ground with 70 yards and a touchdown on 11 attempts, however it says a lot about Ware when he also led the Chiefs receivers with 7 receptions for 129 yards. Jeremy Maclin caught 5 balls for 63 yards and a score while tight end Travis Kelce registered 74 yards on 6 receptions of his own. The Chiefs defense, which has been their calling card the past few seasons, didn’t do anything spectacular last week, only registering 1 sack the entire game while allowing 27 points and 388 yards of total offense, putting the Chiefs in the bottom-10 for defense after week 1.

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Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans - 9/18/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Houston Texans defeated the Chicago Bears by a score of 23-14 to open their 2016 campaign on a high note. Offseason acquisition Brock Osweiler went 22-35 for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns and an interception. Lamar Miller saw a ton of work, to the tune of 106 yards on 28 carries, good for second-most in the league after week 1. 2016 first-round draft pick Will Fuller made an immediate impact for his new team, hauling in 5 passes for 107 yards and a touchdown while Texans mainstay DeAndre Hopkins caught 5 balls for 54 yards of his own and a touchdown. The Houston defense impressed in week 1, registering 5 sacks, an interception and a forced fumble, while allowing a mere 14 points and 258 yards of total offense, good enough to put Houston in the top-5 for most defensive stats after week 1.

Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 games in September. Houston is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The visitor has covered the spread in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

This line seems way too low. Houston has not forgotten that these same Chiefs shut out and embarrassed them in the playoffs last year. The main difference now is that Houston actually has a solid option under center, and I think that will be the difference this time around as the Texans get their revenge.

Lay the points with Houston.

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