Houston Texans at New England Patriots- 9/22/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Texans (2-0) at New England Patriots (2-0)
NFL Football: Thursday, September 22, 2016 at 8:25 pm (Gillette Stadium)
The Line: New England Patriots +1 -- Over/Under: 41 See the Latest Odds
The Houston Texans look to remain undefeated as they head into Gillette Stadium to battle the New England Patriots who can also move to 3-0 with a victory.
The Texans face their biggest test of the season as they take to the road on a short week to face off against Bill Belichick and the Patriots but it is the visitors who are slight favourites thanks to the home side starting their third string quarterback. Houston will look to thrive off of Jacoby Brissett’s inexperience and hammer him with their ferocious pass rush but with the Pats likely moving into check down mode through the air and running the ball a ton I think JJ Watt and company could be held in check and make this one more about field position and coaching. Houston will hammer the ball with Lamar Miller and hope to get Deandre Hopkins open down the field but with Belichick in command you can be sure they have a game plan in place to take Hopkins out of the equation and force Brock Osweiler to look in other directions to make plays.
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The Patriots have had a tumultuous start to the year but they are 2-0 without Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski and are on their third string quarterback here with the possibility of seeing their star tight end activated for this game. New England does have a pretty sound defense as well and will look to get after Osweiler who is still getting his feet wet as an NFL Starter, but with no shortage of weapons the Pats know they need to get after the inexperienced pivot and force them to win on the ground or with their special teams. New England is at home which always a huge plus for them and after almost conceding a big time come back to the Dolphins last week you can be sure they will try to finish it off with conviction if they get a lead this week.
The Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last five against the AFC, and 0-6 in their last six Thursday night games ATS while the Pats are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in September, 5-1-1 in their last seven ATS when scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, and 1-5-2 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Houston is in tough here and while they never seem to get they respect they deserve I just don’t see how it is a good idea betting against the Pats at home, especially if Gronk can play.