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Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals - 9/25/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Denver Broncos (2-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 25, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)

The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -3 -- Over/Under: 41 See the Latest Odds


The Denver Broncos take to the road for the first time this season as they head to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals in week 3 NFL action.

The Denver Broncos improved to 2-0 on the year with a 34-20 victory over the Indianapolis Colts last Sunday. Trevor Siemian racked up 266 yards and an interception on 22 of 33 passing. C.J. Anderson led the way for the Broncos on the ground with 74 rushing yards and a touchdown on 20 carries and 3 receptions for 19 yards out of the backfield. Demaryius Thomas looked like his 2015 self with 5 receptions for 90 yards to lead the way for the Denver receiving core. Denver’s defense held the Colts and Andrew Luck to only 253 yards of total offense, the lowest total by any team in week 2. Von Miller registered 3 of Denver’s 4 sacks on the day, while Aqib Talib picked off Luck and took it the other way for what would be the game-winning touchdown. Miller also forced a fumble, that Shane Ray took back to the house for Denver’s second defensive touchdown on the afternoon.

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Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals - 9/25/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Cincinnati Bengals fell to 1-1 after dropping a 24-16 decision to the host Pittsburgh Steelers. Andy Dalton completed 31 of 54 passes for 366 yards and a touchdown, the fifth-highest output by a quarterback in week 2. In terms of a ground game, or lack thereof, Cincinnati had their 18 rushes turn into a measly 46 yards on the ground, with Jeremy Hill leading the way putting up 22 yards on 11 carries. Gio Bernard may not have had an efficient day on the ground for Cincy, but he made up for it, leading the team with 9 receptions for 100 yards. One of the main questions heading into week 2 was whether or not A.J. Green would be able to shred the Steelers defense in a repeat performance of week 1, and Green responded with only 2 catches for 38 yards. The Cincinnati defense allowed 374 yards of total offense, leaving them around the middle of the pack through 2 weeks in that category. Will Clarke delivered Cincinnati’s only sack of the game while defensive backs Dre Kirkpatrick and Adam Jones each pulled down their first pick of the 2016 season.

Denver is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 following a straight up win. Cincinnati is 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. the AFC and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

Now I’m no fan of Trevor Siemian, but the Broncos defense is enough to keep them in games. Cincinnati couldn’t figure out a subpar Pittsburgh defense and now they have to take on one of, if not the best defense in the NFL. Add in the fact that we are getting points with the Broncos, that makes it hard to look anywhere else except Denver in this spot.

Give me Denver and the points in a game I think the Broncos win outright.

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