Miami Dolphins at Cincinnati Bengals - 9/29/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Dolphins (1-2) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-2)
NFL Football: Thursday, September 29, 2016 at 8:25 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5 See the Latest Odds
The Miami Dolphins look to move to 2-2 as they head into Cincinnati to face off against the Bengals on Thursday Night Football.
The Dolphins look to shake off a sluggish outing last weekend at home against the Cleveland Browns in a game they probably should have lost if not for a Cody Parkey missed field goal, and now they head into Cincinnati to face off against a Bengals side that is also sitting at 1-2 but has faced much stiffer competition. Miami was on the losing end of two decent showings in their first two weeks against the Seahawks and Patriots and in a spot where a ton of people anticipated they would blow the Browns out of the water they fell flat, leaving us in a very tough spot as we don’t know what Dolphins team is going to show up. Miami is in tough though as the Bengals look to avoid slipping to 1-3 in a very tough AFC North and with a brutal schedule the Bengals have already seen I think this could be seen as a let up for Cincy who will be out to dominate early and often.
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The Bengals look to be the better team top to bottom but they will need a breakout type of game as they are coming off back to back losses to the Steelers and Broncos. Cincinnati is once again considered a favourite to emerge out of the AFC North and while the Steelers and Ravens will have a lot to say about that the Bengals have looked good in all three of their games so far and with this one being on a short week at home and in prime time I think we could see Andy Dalton and the offense finally produce a big game. The Bengals defense meanwhile looks like they will have a short handed Dolphins group to deal with as they are already game planning for Jay Ajayi and Kenyan Drake and they might not have to worry about Devante Parker in this one.
The Dolphins are 1-6 in their last seven ATS following a SU win, 3-15 in their last 18 ATS against the AFC, and 0-7 ATS in their last seven against a team with a losing record while the Bengals are 1-3-1 in their last five ATS overall, 7-1-2 in their last 10 ATS when allowing more than 250 passing yards in their previous game, and 4-0 ATS in their last four ATS following a double digit loss. The Bengals are the play here as they are the better team by a mile and are playing at home and with the money coming in on the Bengals it is clear to see why.