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Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans - 10/2/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tennessee Titans (1-2) at Houston Texans (2-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 2, 2016 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -4.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5 See the Latest Odds


The Tennessee Titans make the trek down I-40 to take on the Houston Texans in week 4 NFL action.

The Tennessee Titans fell to 1-2 after falling to the visiting Oakland Raiders by a score of 17-10. Marcus Mariota completed 17 of his 33 pass attempts for 214 yards and 2 interceptions. DeMarco Murray led the Titans with 114 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries to go along with a team high 5 receptions out of the backfield for 41 yards. Jace Amaro led Tennessee with 59 yards on 3 catches while Tajae Sharpe matched Amaro’s 3 receptions with 3 of his own for 48 yards. The Titans allowed 368 yards of total offense, just short of their team high 375 yards allowed in week 2. The defensive performance was highlighted by an Avery Williamson interception of Oakland QB Derek Carr and a sack from Brian Orakpo.

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Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans - 10/2/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Houston Texans disappointed in a 27-0 shutout loss to the New England Patriots on Thursday Night Football to kick off week 3. Brock Osweiler completed 24 of his 41 pass attempts for 196 yards, however was picked off by New England linebacker Jamie Collins. Lamar Miller led Houston with 80 yards on 21 carries out of the backfield. DeAndre Hopkins led the Texans with 56 receiving yards on 4 receptions, while Ryan Griffin caught a team high 8 passes for 52 yards. Will Fuller had his first off game in his brief NFL career, logging 3 receptions for a mere 31 yards as the Texans could barely get any offense going, as Houston didn’t have a single play in the New England side of the 50 until late in the 3rd quarter. Defensively, Bryant McKinney’s sack was the lone highlight in an otherwise quiet night for the Houston defense that allowed only 282 yards but still let up 27 points in the loss. The big blow for Houston came in the news that all-pro defensive end J.J. Watt would be placed on the injured reserve for an injured back that Watt was dealing with in the offseason. The concern is that Watt won’t only miss the required 8 games for being on injured reserve, the concern is that Watt’s season may be done, however only time will tell if that is the case. Until then the Texans will have to make do with what they have on hand,

Tennessee is 3-21-3 ATS in their last 28 division matchups and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games while the over is 15-2-1 in their last 18 week 4 matchups. Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 division matchups and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 overall while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games. Houston is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

This is a hard game to call because I’m not sure how the Houston defense will rebound without J.J. Watt. However the Texans have been here before and Tennessee has been downright awful against the spread within the division so I think those trends continue here. It doesn’t hurt that we have a reasonably low number for the line either.

Lay the points with the Texans.

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