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Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots - 10/16/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Bengals (2-3) at New England Patriots (4-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 16, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -8 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds


The Cincinnati Bengals head to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots in week 6 NFL action.

The Cincinnati Bengals fell to 2-3 following a 28-14 defeat at the hands of the Dallas Cowboys. Andy Dalton completed 29 of his 41 pass attempts for 269 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Giovani Bernard led the Bengals out of the backfield, logging 50 yards on his 9 carries. Andy Dalton also managed to contribute to the ground game, calling his own number 6 times to log 34 yards rushing. Brandon LaFell hauled in 8 balls for 68 yards including both of Dalton’s touchdowns. A.J. Green followed up his spectacular week 4 173-yard performance with a subpar (by A.J. Green standards) 4 catches for 50 yards. Defensively, Cincinnati just did not have an answer for the Dallas offense, allowing over 400 yards including 134 yards and a pair of touchdowns to Dallas running back Ezekiel Elliott. The only highlights defensively came by way of a sack and forced fumble courtesy of Carlos Dunlap that linebacker Vincent Rey recovered.

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Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots - 10/16/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The New England Patriots rejoiced in the return of star quarterback Tom Brady with a 33-13 victory over the Cleveland Browns. The aforementioned Brady completed 28 of his 40 pass attempts for 406 yards and 3 touchdowns in his first game back from suspension. No one really stood out for New England out of the backfield, with Legarrette Blount leading the Pats with 37 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries. James White followed closely behind, making use of his 5 carries to rack up 26 yards. Chris Hogan had his breakout game as a member of the New England Patriots, logging 114 yards on 4 catches including a 63-yard catch and run. It almost seemed like Rob Gronkowski was waiting for Brady to come back as Gronk finally looked like the Gronk of old, hauling in 5 passes for 109 yards. However the star for the Patriots seemed to be Martellus Bennett who once again led the team in receptions, except this week was extra special, as 3 of Bennett’s team high 6 receptions were in the end zone. Defensively, New England suffocated the Browns, forcing Cleveland’s starting QB Cody Kessler and backup Charlie Whitehurst from the game due to injury and holding the Browns to a combined 27 yards on the ground, highlighted by a pair of sacks from defensive tackle Malcom Brown to go along with an interception of Charlie Whitehurst courtesy of Patrick Chung and a forced fumble by Jamie Collins.

Cincinnati is 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 14-6-2 ATS in their last 22 overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. New England is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 home games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 week 6 matchups. New England is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

I’m not sure how you can go against New England here. Sure, Cincinnati has some weapons and a good defense, but New England is playing with a chip on their shoulder and are firing on all cylinders right now, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they won out the rest of their schedule. Cincinnati should compete, but look for Brady and the Pats to overwhelm the Bengals here.

Lay the points with New England.

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