New Orleans Saints vs. Carolina Panthers - 10/16/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Carolina Panthers (1-4) at New Orleans Saints (1-3)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 16, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
The Line: New Orleans Saints +3 -- Over/Under:
The New Orleans Saints and the Carolina Panthers face off on Sunday in New Orleans in a NFC South NFL showdown.
The New Orleans Saints are 1-3 this season and they are coming off of a bye last week. The Saints offense is averaging 28.5 points and 386 yards per game and they are plus 1 in turnover ratio. New Orleans QB Drew Brees has completed 65.9 percent of his passes with 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Mark Ingram is the Saints top rusher with 221 yards and a touchdown and he has 16 receptions while Michael Thomas is the leading receiver with 21 catches and 2 touchdowns and Brandin Cooks has 18 catches and 2 touchdowns. The Saints defense is last in the NFL with 32.5 points allowed per game and 31st with 422.8 yards allowed per game with 1 interception, 5 fumble recoveries, and 7 sacks. Craig Robertson leads New Orleans in tackles with 41, Ken Crawley has 21 tackles, and Kenny Vaccaro has 20 tackles. Drew Brees always give the Saints a punchers chance but this a team with a lot of holes.
The Carolina Panthers are 1-4 this season and they are in last place in the NFC South. The Panthers offense is averaging 24.6 points and 392 yards per game and they are minus 7 in turnover ratio. Carolina QB Cam Newton missed last week’s game with a concussion but he should be good to go this week and for the season he has completed 57.9 percent of his passes with 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. James Stewart could return for the Panthers to inject life into the running game while Greg Olsen is the top receiver with 33 catches and 2 touchdowns and Kelvin Benjamin has 21 catches and 4 touchdowns. Defensively the Panthers are allowing 27 points and 341.2 yards per game with 5 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 11 sacks. Luke Keuchly leads the Panthers with 57 tackles and Thomas Davis and Kurt Coleman each have 24 tackles. Carolina needs to turn around the turnover battle and that would be a huge step in the right direction.
New Orleans is 7-1 against the spread following a bye week, 4-10-1 against the spread in their last 15 home games, and 2-7 against the spread against a team with a losing record. Carolina is 2-5 against the spread following a bye week, 0-6 against the spread in their last 6 road games, and 4-1 against the spread on the road against a team with a losing home record. The road team is 21-8 against the spread in the last 29 meetings of these two teams.
Both of these teams are hurting and even though the Panthers are on a short week and the Saints are coming off of a bye, the Panthers are still the better team here. The odds aren’t out yet but early indications are the Panthers should be around a 3-point favorite and if that’s the case I am laying the points.