Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals - 10/23/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Browns (0-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (2-4)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -10.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds
The Cleveland Browns look for their first win of the season in an AFC North battle with the Cincinnati Bengals in week 7 NFL action.
The Cleveland Browns lost their 6th straight game to remain winless on the season by dropping a narrow 28-26 decision to the Tennessee Titans. Cody Kessler surprised everyone by returning from injury to get the start, completing 26 of his 41 pass attempts for 336 yards and a pair of touchdowns while being sacked a total of 6 times on the day. The Cleveland run game went down without a peep as Duke Johnson led the team with 18 yards on 4 carries. Isaiah Crowell, who has emerged as the top running back option for the Browns since the start of the season, logged a mere 16 yards on 9 carries, making that a total of 38 yards on 22 carries in the last 2 weeks. Terrelle Pryor, who most speculated would lead the quarterback position in week 6, ended up leading the Browns receiving core with team-highs in receptions and receiving yards with 9 catches for 75 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Rookie Ricardo Lewis was not far off the pace, hauling in 5 balls for 65 yards. There wasn’t a whole lot for Cleveland to write home about defensively, as they allowed over 400 yards of total offense for the 2nd consecutive week, allowing the Titans to rack up 407 yards through the air and on the ground on the day. The performance was highlighted by a pair of team sacks courtesy of Emmanuel Ogbah and Danny Shelton to go along with a Tramon Williams interception of Titans QB Marcus Mariota.
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The Cincinnati Bengals fell to 2-4 on the year with a 35-17 defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots. Cincy looked to be in a good spot up 14-10 midway through the 3rd quarter, however the Patriots scored 25 of the next 28 points to seal the Bengals fate. Andy Dalton completed 21 of his 31 pass attempts for 254 yards and a touchdown while being sacked twice on the day. However Dalton did contribute when he called his own number on one of his 2 carries, resulting in a 2 yard touchdown. It was another running back by committee outing for the Bengals as Giovani Bernard and Jeremy Hill split the carries for the Bengals out of the backfield, with Bernard leading the way with 49 yards on 15 carries and Hill following closely behind with 38 yards on 13 carries of his own. A.J. Green led the Bengals receivers with 6 receptions for 88 yards on the day, while rookie 2nd-round pick Tyler Boyd caught 4 balls for 79 yards. Defensively, the Bengals had no answer for the Patriots dynamic offense, as they let New England QB Tom Brady throw for 376 yards and 3 touchdowns, including 7 receptions for 162 yards and a touchdown by tight end Rob Gronkowski. The only noteworthy events for the Bengals on defense came by way of a trio of sacks from Michael Johnson, Pat Sims and linebacker Vontaze Burfict who was also fined $75,000 for stomping on Patriots running back Legarrette Blount in the loss.
Cleveland is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. the AFC and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 week 7 matchups. Cincinnati is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 divisional matchups and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 home games. The underdog is 13-4-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings between these two teams.
Cincinnati is probably going to come out angry as they let a chance to beat the Patriots slip away. But this is way too many points to give a Bengals team that is 2 games under .500. Cleveland, as bad as they’ve looked at times this season, has had some fight in them the last couple of weeks, and I find that teams tend to wake up for division games. Plus this just screams trap game for Cincinnati as they have to get ready for a game in England next week.
Give me Cleveland and the points.