Kansas City Chiefs vs. New Orleans Saints - 10/23/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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New Orleans Saints (2-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (3-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 23, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5
The Kansas City Chiefs and the New Orleans Saints face off on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadiumm in week 7 NFL action.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-2 this season and they appear to be getting better by the week after a slow start. The Chiefs offense is averaging 21.8 points and 352 yards per game and they are plus 5 in turnover ratio. Kansas City QB Alex Smith has completed 67.4 percent of his passes with 5 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and he has run for a touchdown. Spencer Ware has emerged as the Chiefs top rusher with 415 yards and 2 touchdowns and Travis Kelce is the top receiver with 25 catches and 2 touchdowns and Jeremy Maclin has 23 catches and a touchdown. The Kansas City defense is allowing 20.4 points and 353.2 yards per game with 9 interceptions, 4 fumble recoveries, and 7 sacks. Derrick Johnson is the Chiefs top tackler with 40 and Frank Zombo and Justin March-Lillard each have 22 tackles. The Chiefs pass rush hasn’t been what it has been in recent years but it should get an injection of life next week when Justin Houston may return.
The New Orleans Saints are 2-3 this season and if they can get any improvement from their defense they may have a shot at the post season. The Saints offense is 2nd best in the NFL with 31 points and 413.4 yards per game and they have a plus 2 turnover ratio. New Orleans QB Drew Brees has completed 66.7 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Mark Ingram is the Saints top rusher with 272 yards and a touchdown and Michael Thomas is the top receiver with 26 catches and 3 touchdowns and Brandin Cooks has 25 catches and 3 touchdowns. The Saints defense is the worst in the league in points allowed at 33.6 per game and 31st in yards allowed per game at 419.4 with 2 interceptions, 6 fumble recoveries, and 9 sacks. Craig Robertson is New Orleans top tackler with 53, Kenny Vaccaro has 28 tackles, and Nick Fairley has 3.5 sacks. The Saints need the defense to step up as well as the running game if they hope to contend.
Kansas City is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 home games, 0-4 against the spread following a win, and 3-7 against the spread at home against a team with a losing home record. New Orleans is 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 road games, 5-0 against the spread after allowing 30 or more points in their previous game, and 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games.
The Saints will need to take advantage of all of their chances and I don’t see that happening as KC will methodically move the ball down the field on the Saints D. The Saints have been great road dogs but this looks like a lousy spot.