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Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons - 10/30/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers (4-2) at Atlanta Falcons (4-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 30, 2016 at 4:25 pm (Georgia Dome)

The Line: Atlanta Falcons -3 -- Over/Under: 52.5 See the Latest Odds


The Green Bay Packers head south to the Georgia Dome to take on the Atlanta Falcons in an NFC showdown in week 8 NFL action.

The Green Bay Packers improved to 4-2 with a 26-10 victory over the Chicago Bears on week 7’s edition of Thursday Night Football. Aaron Rodgers completed a franchise-record 39 passes on 56 attempts for 326 yards and a trio of touchdowns while being sacked twice on the day. 6 different Packers had a carry on the night, with wide receiver Ty Montgomery leading the charge with 9 carries for 60 yards.

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Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons - 10/30/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Davante Adams had his breakout game catching 13 passes for 132 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Adams was one of 3 Green Bay receivers with at least 10 receptions on the night, with Randall Cobb finishing 2nd with 95 yards and a touchdown on 11 receptions and the aforementioned Ty Montgomery hauling in 10 passes for 66 yards. Defensively, it was a solid outing for the Packers as they held the bears to a puny 189 yards of total offense, picking off Bears QB Matt Barkley twice and sacking him after he filled in for starter Brian Hoyer, who left the game after suffering a broken arm.

The Atlanta Falcons dropped a heartbreaker, 33-30 in overtime to the San Diego Chargers. The story of the game was the decision by Falcons coach Dan Quinn to go for it on 4th-and-1 on their own 43-yard line in overtime before Devonta Freeman was stuffed at the line, turning the ball over to San Diego for their game winning drive. Matt Ryan completed 22 of his 34 pass attempts for 273 yards and a touchdown that was countered with an interception on the day. Tevin Coleman rushed for a team-high 64 yards and a touchdown on just 8 carries, including a 30-yard rush into the endzone mid-way through the 2nd quarter, while the aforementioned Freeman was not far behind, racking up 58 yards on 15 carries. Julio Jones had another monster game receiving, catching 9 balls for 174 yards, while tight end Jacob Tamme caught only 1 pass that turned into Ryan’s lone 17-yard passing touchdown. Defensively, the Falcons allowed Chargers QB Philip Rivers to throw for 371 yards, while the 33 Charger points is tied for the highest total by any opponent this season. On the plus side, the Falcons got after San Diego, with Deion Jones picking off Rivers, and 4 sacks courtesy of Adrian Clayborn, Brooks Reed, and a pair from Vic Beasley Jr., one of which forced a fumble that the aforementioned Clayborn returned 5 yards to the house for Atlanta’s lone defensive score on the day.

Green Bay is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. the NFC. Atlanta is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. the NFC while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

Green Bay looks to have turned the corner, while Atlanta has to feel a tad deflated after how they blew it last week. That kind of loss is responded in one of two ways, you either come out firing, or come out flat and against a rested Green Bay team that is clicking, I think the latter shows up. Not to mention the road team has owned the spread the last 4 times these teams have met and we are getting points with the better team.

Give me Green Bay and the points.

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