Jacksonville Jaguars at Kansas City Chiefs - 11/6/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5) at Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds
The Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Arrowhead to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in week 9 NFL action.
The Jacksonville Jaguars fell to 2-5 following a 36-22 defeat at the hands of the Tennessee Titans to kick off week 8 on Thursday Night Football. The Jags fell behind 27-0 in the 2nd quarter and although they put up a fight, it was just too much to overcome. Blake Bortles completed 33 of his 54 pass attempts on the night for 337 yards and 3 touchdowns while being sacked twice on the night. However I think it says more about the Jacksonville offense that Bortles also led the team in rushing, calling his own number 4 times to rack up 22 yards. Outside of Bortles, the Jags ran the ball a mere 7 times, with T.J. Yeldon logging 20 yards on 3 carries and Chris Ivory putting up 8 yards on 4 carries in the loss. Allen Hurns led the Jaguars receiving core, logging team-highs with 7 receptions for 98 yards and a touchdown. Allen Robinson caught 6 balls for 70 yards of his own, while tight end Julius Thomas hauled in 3 passes for 28 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, Jacksonville had no answer for the Titans, as Tennessee racked up nearly 500 yards of total offense on the night. They made Marcus Mariota look like a stud, completing 18 of 22 passes for 270 yards and a pair of touchdowns while letting DeMarco Murray run roughshod, putting up 123 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries of his own in what many regarded to be the worst Thursday night game of the season.
USA TODAY Sports
The Kansas City Chiefs improved to 5-2 with a 30-14 win over the Indianapolis Colts. Alex Smith completed 9 of his 19 pass attempts for 127 yards and a touchdown before making way for backup Nick Foles after Smith suffered a possible concussion. Foles stepped in well, completing 16 of 22 passes for 223 yards and a pair of touchdowns. 6 different ball carriers had a rush out of the Chiefs backfield, with Charcandrick West leading the way with 52 yards on 14 carries while Spencer ware had his least productive game of the season, using his 7 carries to put up a measly 19 yards. Travis Kelce led the Chiefs with 7 receptions for 101 yards and a touchdown, while Tyreek Hill was not far behind with 5 catches for 98 yards and a touchdown of his own. Defensively, the Chiefs smothered the Colts, sacking QB Andrew Luck 5 times, including 3 sacks by linebacker Dee Ford, bringing his total on the year to 7.0, good for a share of 5th in the entire NFL. Defensive back Phillip Gaines managed to pick off the aforementioned Luck, while Daniel Sorensen forced a fumble from the hands of Luck that linebacker Ramik Wilson fell on top of to give the Chiefs the ball back.
Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. the AFC. Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in the month of November while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
This spread is hard to pick as the Jaguars looked awful in the first half last week but turned it around to make the score look somewhat respectable, while the Chiefs will be starting their more than capable backup. However, Kansas City’s defense is as good if not better than Tennessee’s, which leads me to think Bortles and the Jags could be in trouble if they don’t get off to a good start.
Not in love with the pick, but I’ll lay the points with the Chiefs if forced to make a pick.