Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens - 11/6/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) at Baltimore Ravens (3-4)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 1:00 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)
The Line: Baltimore Ravens -1 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds
The Pittsburgh Steelers travel to Baltimore to take on the Ravens in an AFC North tilt in week 9 NFL action.
The Pittsburgh Steelers had a bye in week 8, however it was much needed after a 27-16 defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots in week 7. Landry Jones completed 29 of his 47 pass attempts for 281 yards and a touchdown that was countered with an interception. LeVeon Bell saw pretty much all of the work out of the Steelers backfield, racking up 81 yards on 21 carries while also catching 10 passes out of the backfield for 68 yards. Antonio Brown was up to his old tricks, leading Pittsburgh with 106 yards on 7 receptions, his 3rd 100-yard game of the season, while no other Pittsburgh receiver logged more than 3 catches on the day. Defensively, it’s not often that you hold Tom Brady to just 222 yards passing and still take the loss, however that’s exactly what happened to Pittsburgh as they also let LeGarrette Blount rack up 127 yards and a pair of touchdowns on his 24 carries. The lone highlight for the Steelers came in the form of a Jarvis Jones forced fumble of New England receiver Chris Hogan that Jones fell on top of to get Pittsburgh the ball back 2 minutes into the game.
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The Baltimore Ravens were also on a bye week in week 8, and like Pittsburgh, an AFC East opponent was not kind to the Ravens, as Baltimore dropped a 24-16 decision to the New York Jets. Joe Flacco completed 25 of his 44 pass attempts for 248 yards while tossing a pair of interceptions. Terrance West led a non-existent Ravens ground attack, as West racked up just 10 yards on 8 carries, and the offense as a whole put up 11 yards on 11 carries on the afternoon. Mike Wallace led the Ravens’ receiving core wit his first 100-yard game of the season, catching 10 passes for 120 yards. Dennis Pitta caught 4 passes for 40 yards, while no other Raven caught more than 3 passes in the game. Defensively, the Ravens showed up unlike the majority of the offense, as a Chris Moore fumble recovery resulted in Baltimore’s lone touchdown on the day. Furthermore, the Ravens logged a total of 5 sacks on the Jets’ quarterback tandem of Geno Smith and Ryan Fitzpatrick courtesy of Brandon Williams, Michael Pierce, Timmy Jernigan and a pair from rookie Matt Judon, his first 2 sacks of the season.
Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 division matchups and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week while the under is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Baltimore is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 division matchups and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 overall while the under is 6-2 in their last 8 home games. Baltimore is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
This is a rivalry game that I could see going either way, which is why the line is so low. However, I have more faith in Pittsburgh as they were able to compete with a high-caliber team like the Patriots, while the Ravens struggled to get anything going against the Jets.
If you want the free point to be safe go for it, but I would suggest taking Pittsburgh on the money line to squeeze out a little bit more value.