San Diego Chargers vs. Tennessee Titans - 11/6/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Tennessee Titans (4-4) at San Diego Chargers (3-5)
NFL Football: Sunday, November 6, 2016 at 4:25 pm (Qualcomm Stadium)
The Line: San Diego Chargers -5 -- Over/Under: 48.5
The San Diego Chargers and the Tennessee Titans face off on Sunday in week 9 NFL action.
The San Diego Chargers are 3-5 this season but they have had several near misses and games where they had every chance to win. The Chargers offense is averaging a 3rd best in the NFL 28.1 points per game and 365.8 yards per game but their minus 3 turnover ratio has hurt them. San Diego QB Phillip Rivers has completed 62.3 percent of his passes with 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions and he has been sacked 21 times. Melvin Gordon leads the Chargers in rushing with 572 yards and 8 touchdowns and Travis Benjamin leads in receptions with 38 and 3 touchdowns and Tyrell Williams has 32 catches and 2 touchdowns. The Chargers defense is allowing 26.5 points and 361.1 yards per game with 9 interceptions, 8 fumble recoveries, and 18 sacks. Jatavius Brown is San Diego’s leading tackler with 54, Casey Heyward has 38 tackles and 4 interceptions, and Melvin Ingram has 5 sacks. San Diego appears to have plenty of talent they just can’t seem to keep it together for a full 60 minutes of football.
The Tennessee Titans are 4-4 this season and they have won 3 of their last 4 games. The Titans offense is averaging 22.8 points and 377.8 yards per game but they are minus 3 in turnover ratio. Tennessee QB Marcus Mariota has completed 63.3 percent of his passes with 14 touchdowns and 6 interceptions and he has been sacked only 12 times and he has also rushed for 221 yards and a touchdown. DeMarco Murray leads the Titans in rushing with 756 yards and 6 touchdowns and he has 28 receptions and 3 receiving touchdowns while Delanie Walker has 28 receptions and 3 touchdowns, Rishard Matthews has 27 catches and 3 touchdowns and the passing game in general has been much better since Kendall Wright returned in early October. Defensively the Titans allow 22.9 points and 342 yards per game with 6 interceptions, no fumble recoveries, and 22 sacks. Avery Williamson leads the Tennessee defense with 61 tackles, Jason McCourty has 41 tackles, and Brian Orakpo has 7 sacks. Tennessee appears to be a team on the rise and they don’t seem to have a glaring weakness.
San Diego is 8-2 against the spread against the AFC, 8-1 against the spread following a loss, and 4-12 in their last 16 home games. Tennessee is 4-11 against the spread in their last 15 road games, 0-4 against the spread on the road against a team with a losing home record, and 16-34-1 against the spread following a game that they covered the point spread. Tennessee is 0-8-1 against the spread in their last 9 games against San Diego.
I like the way the Titans run the football and are playing but this looks like a tough spot for them. I can see the Titans keeping it close enough to get the cover getting the generous number but not sure they can win this one outright.