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Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 12/4/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) at Atlanta Falcons (7-4)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 4, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Georgia Dome)

The Line: Atlanta Falcons -3.5 -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds


The Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons clash Sunday afternoon in a key NFL matchup at the Georgia Dome.

The Kansas City Chiefs look to keep the ball rolling and keep pace in the competitive AFC West division. The Kansas City Chiefs have won four straight road games. Alex Smith is completing 66.2 percent of his passes for 2,297 yards, 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Smith has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for more than 1,103 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Chris Conley has 34 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 96.5 yards per contest, and Spencer Ware leads the way with 705 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 19.5 points and 381.9 yards per game. Derrick Johnson leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 80 tackles, Dee Ford has 10 sacks and Marcus Peters has five interceptions.

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Atlanta Falcons vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 12/4/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Atlanta Falcons look for their eighth victory of the season to keep their current lead in the NFC South. The Atlanta Falcons have lost six of their last 10 home games. Matt Ryan is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 3,516 yards, 26 touchdowns and six interceptions. Ryan has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 12 games. Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu have combined for more than 1,635 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Taylor Gabriel has 21 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 108.4 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 729 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 27.5 points and 381 yards per game. Keanu Neal leads the Atlanta Falcons with 72 tackles, Vic Beasley Jr. has 9.5 sacks and Deion Jones has two interceptions.

The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Falcons are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

At this point, any time you can get the Kansas City Chiefs and free points, you should consider taking them regardless of the matchup. The Chiefs are solid defensively, control the clock, take care of the football and simply find ways to compete and win football games. It may not be pretty all the time, but the Chiefs continue to get it done, especially on the road. The Falcons have the advantage offensively, but they do have wholes defensively and have run hot and cold the last six games. The value is with the Chiefs and the points, so that's where I'm heading.

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