Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints - 12/4/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Detroit Lions (7-4) at New Orleans Saints (5-6)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 4, 2016 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)
The Line: New Orleans Saints -6 -- Over/Under: 53.5 See the Latest Odds
A pair of powerful offenses and playoff hopefuls face off at the Superdome as the New Orleans Saints host the Detroit Lions.
The Detroit Lions won their 3rd straight game to improve to 7-4 after defeating the Minnesota Vikings on Thanksgiving by a final score of 16-13. Detroit was down 13-10 in the last 2 minutes before putting up a pair of quick field goals to steal the win and the lead at the top of the NFC North. Matt Stafford completed just 23 of his 40 pass attempts for 232 yards and a touchdown while being sacked twice on the day. Theo Riddick led the Lions ground attack with 45 yards on 9 carries while Stafford racked up 30 yards after calling his own number 4 times in the win. Golden Tate logged a team-high 77 yards on 5 catches while Anquan Boldin led Detroit with 7 receptions for 69 yards and a touchdown. Only 5 receivers caught a pass from Matt Stafford in the win, with 4 of them racking up at least 4 catches. Defensively, the Lions held Minnesota to 306 yards of total offense but were unable to sack Vikings QB Sam Bradford while Bradford completed all but 6 of his pass attempts in the game.
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The New Orleans Saints will try to find some consistency after splitting their last 6 games. Their last outing resulted in a massive 49-21 victory over the Los Angeles Rams, spoiling Jared Goff’s debut for L.A. Drew Brees connected on 28 of his 36 pass attempts for 310 yards and 4 touchdowns while being sacked just twice on the day. Mark Ingram led the Saints’ ground attack with 146 yards and a touchdown on just 14 carries while Tim Hightower put up 51 yards on his team high 15 carries. Michael Thomas led the Saints by setting team-highs with 9 receptions for 108 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Tim Hightower caught a pair of passes out of the New Orleans backfield, including Willie Snead’s lone pass attempt on the day on a trick play that went for 50 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, it was probably the best performance from the Saints this season, as they held Los Angeles to just 247 yards of total offense while sacking Jared Goff 3 times and Kenny Vaccaro pulled down his 2nd interception of the season.
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. the NFC and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the under is 17-6 in their last 23 road games. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. the NFC while the over is 9-2-1 in their last 12 home games. The game has gone over the total in 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
With how well both have been playing over the last couple of weeks, it seems impossible for me to pick a side as both offenses have been lighting it up. The safer play to me seems like the over, as it has hit in 4 of the last 5 meetings and I would be stunned if it didn’t go over by the end of the 3rd quarter.