Baltimore Ravens (7-5) at New England Patriots (10-2)
NFL Football: Monday, December 12, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Gillette Stadium)
The Line: New England Patriots -7 -- Over/Under: 45 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
Week 14’s edition of Monday Night Football brings us a potential playoff preview as the Baltimore Ravens travel to Foxborough to take on the New England Patriots.
The Baltimore Ravens won their 2nd straight to climb to 7-5 at the top of the AFC North with a 38-6 dismantling of the Miami Dolphins. Joe Flacco completed 36 of 47 pass attempts for 381 yards and 4 touchdowns to go along with an interception. Kenneth Dixon rushed for a team-high 56 yards on 6 carries while Terrance West racked up 50 yards and a touchdown on his 10 carries on the day. Dennis Pitta led the Ravens with 9 catches for 90 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Breshad Perriman caught 2 passes for 59 yards and a score of his own. Mike Wallace also tallied up 59 yards, and did so on 6 receptions. Defensively, Baltimore swarmed Miami, holding the Dolphins to just 277 yards of total offense while picking off Miami QB Ryan Tannehill 3 times in the win while also sacking him twice, and as imagined, the 6 points against is the lowest allowed by Baltimore this season.
The New England Patriots began life without Rob Gronkowski by posting a 26-10 win over the Los Angeles Rams to climb to 10-2 on the year. Tom Brady threw for 269 yards and a touchdown on the afternoon. Legarrette Blount racked up a game-high 88 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries to lead the Pats. Julian Edelman put up a team-high 101 yards on 8 catches, while Malcolm Mitchell used his 8 receptions to notch 82 yards of his own. Chris Hogan only had 4 catches and 29 yards but also accounted for Brady’s lone touchdown in the game. Defensively, the Patriots smothered the Rams and rookie QB Jared Goff, sacking Goff 4 times and picking him off twice en route to holding the Rams to just 162 yards of total offense on the day, and dominating the time of possession battle, holding the Rams to just 22:03 in time with the ball.
Baltimore is 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 vs. the AFC. New England is 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 home games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall while the over is 12-4 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record. Baltimore is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings at New England.
All signs and trends point to a Baltimore cover here. However, New England is still trying to lock up home field, and already know what life without Rob Gronkowski feels like. Not to mention primetime is where Brady has been known to shine the brightest, so I’ll lay the points with New England here although it won’t be by much more than that.