New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens - 12/12/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Ravens (7-5) at New England Patriots (10-2)
NFL Football: Monday, December 12, 2016 at 8:30 pm (Gillette Stadium)
The Line: New England Patriots -7 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots clash Monday night in a key AFC NFL matchup at Gillette Stadium on ESPN.
The Baltimore Ravens look for their fifth win in six tries to remain in the AFC playoff race. The Baltimore Ravens have lost three straight road games. Joe Flacco is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 3,258 yards, 15 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Flacco has one or less touchdown pass in eight of his last 10 games. Mike Wallace and Steve Smith Sr. have combined for more than 1,440 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Dennis Pitta has 61 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 89.7 yards per contest, and Terrance West leads the way with 650 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 17.3 points and 296.1 yards per game. Zachary Orr leads the Baltimore Ravens with 112 tackles, Terrell Suggs has eight sacks and Eric Weddle has three interceptions.
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The New England Patriots look for their fourth straight victory to all but wrap up the AFC East division. The New England Patriots have won 18 of their last 22 regular season home games. Tom Brady is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 2,470 yards, 19 touchdowns and one interception. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 14 games. Julian Edelman and Martellus Bennett have combined for more than 1,262 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Chris Hogan has 27 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 117.3 yards per contest, and LeGarrette Blount leads the way with 785 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 17.3 points and 337.3 yards per game. Patrick Chung leads the New England Patriots with 73 tackles, Trey Flowers has four sacks and Malcolm Butler has two interceptions.
The Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Patriots are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 home games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Ravens are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England and the road team is 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
It's no secret the New England Patriots are always tough to beat on their home field and the likely horrible weather should play in their hands as well. However, getting a free touchdown with the Baltimore Ravens is quite valuable. The Ravens are one of the top defensive teams in the country and have a history of giving Brady issues. Baltimore has beaten New England in two of the last four meetings and with no Rob Gronkowski, Brady and company will have a hard time putting points on the board. On the other side, Flacco seems to have found his rhythm last week and is going up against a New England defense that isn't special. This is going to be a close game and I wouldn't be shocked if the Ravens found a way to win outright.
I'll take the Ravens and the free touchdown.