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New England Patriots at Denver Broncos - 12/18/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (11-2) at Denver Broncos (8-5)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 18, 2016 at 4:25 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)

The Line: Denver Broncos +3 -- Over/Under: 44 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots continue their pursuit of home field advantage in the playoffs when they visit the Denver Broncos in week 15 NFL action. 

The New England Patriots made it 4 in a row to improve to 11-2 on the year with a 30-23 victory over the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football. Tom Brady completed 25 of 38 pass attempts for 406 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception. Legarrette Blount racked up 72 yards and a touchdown on 18 carries to lead the Patriots backfield. Chris Hogan had his best game of the season, posting 129 yards and a touchdown on 5 receptions. Julian Edelman hauled in a team-high 7 passes for 73 yards and Marcellus Bennett did his best to fill the void left by Rob Gronkowski by catching 4 passes for 70 yards and a touchdown. Defensively, the Pats got to Baltimore QB Joe Flacco twice, including one in the end zone for a safety, and picked him off once while holding the Ravens to 348 yards of total offense. 

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New England Patriots at Denver Broncos - 12/18/16 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Broncos will try to hold on to the 2nd wild card spot after falling to 8-5 with a 13-10 week 14 defeat to the Tennessee Titans. Trevor Siemian connected on 35 of his 51 pass attempts in the game for a total of 334 yards and a touchdown while being sacked 3 times on the day. Justin Forsett led a lacklustre Broncos ground attack, posting just 17 yards on 6 carries. Denver boasted a pair of 100-yard receivers in week 14, with Demaryius Thomas logging 126 yards on 10 receptions while Emmanuel Sanders caught 11 balls for 100 yards and the team's lone touchdown on the day. Defensively, there wasn't much else the Broncos could do. They sacked Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota twice while holding him to just 88 yards passing in the game. Their downfall was allowing a combined 180 rushing yards to the Titans backfield, which kept the offense on the sidelines, which resulted in Tennessee winning the time of possession battle, and ultimately holding on late for the win. 

New England is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall while the over is 13-4 in their last 17 games against a team with a winning record. Denver is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. The home team has covered the spread in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. 

Although Denver has dominated this matchup against the spread, New England is 6-0 on the road this season and still has something to play for, chasing down home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Denver is still trying to stay alive themselves, but a Pats team with something to play for combined with a low line is something I'm definitely interested in. 

Lay the points with New England. 

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