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New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans - 1/14/17 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Houston Texans (10-7) at New England Patriots (14-2)

NFL Football: Saturday, January 14, 2017 at 8:15 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -15.5 -- Over/Under: 46 See the Latest Odds


Coming up on Saturday, January 14 from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, the NFL is bringing us AFC Divisional Round playoff action as the Houston Texans visit the New England Patriots. 

Houston earned the trip to this game after posting a 9-7 record in the regular season to win the AFC South, then beating the Raiders 27-14 in the Wild Card Round last weekend. In that one, Texans QB Brock Osweiler went 14-of-25 for 168 yards, throwing for one touchdown and running for another. Houston RB Lamar Miller also had a good outing with 31 carries for 73 yards and a TD of his own. 

New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans - 1/14/17 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Pick, Odds, and Prediction


This season, Osweiler led the Texans with 2957 yards passing, 15 touchdowns and 16 interceptions, while Miller put up 1073 rush yards and five touchdowns. Leading Houston in receiving this year was DeAndre Hopkins with 78 catches, 954 yards and four touchdowns. 

Over on the Patriots side, they cruised through the season on the way to a 14-2 record and yet another AFC East title. After a loss to the Seahawks on November 13, New England won their final seven games, including their most recent pair against divisional rivals New York and Miami. In those two games, the Pats dominated with a combined 76-17 score. 

Leading the way as usual behind center this year is Tom Brady at QB, who put up 3554 yards, 28 touchdowns and just two picks for New England this year. The Patriots’ leading rusher this season is LeGarrette Blount, with 1161 yards and 18 touchdowns, while Julian Edelman led the receivers with 98 catches for 1106 yards. 

Houston is 2-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven versus the AFC. The Texans are also 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall. 

Meanwhile, the Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win, and 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. New England is also 4-0 ATS in their last four versus the AFC, and 6-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record. 

You won’t find a whole lot of people picking the Texans to win this game, as it would be nothing short of a total shock for New England to lose. The Patriots are playing at home and smoking hot on that winning streak, driven to prove themselves once again after Tom Brady’s suspension (which seems like a distant memory now). Houston surprised a lot of people with that win last weekend, but expecting Osweiler to keep up with Brady here is simply too much. Although the line is huge, the Patriots aren’t going to let off the gas pedal and look good for a cover here.

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