Miami Dolphins vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 9/10/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by USA TODAY Sports
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-7) at Miami Dolphins (10-7)
NFL Football: Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Hard Rock Stadium)
The Line: Miami Dolphins -2.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Down in Miami Gardens at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, September 10, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Miami Dolphins will be meeting up in Week 1 NFL action.
The Buccaneers managed to go 1-3 in the preseason this year, bagging a win over the Jags in Week 2 and falling to the Bengals, Browns and Redskins in the other three games. In the fourth week, Tampa Bay fell 13-10, with Sefo Liufau going 16-of-28 for 170 yards, one TD and one pick.
In 2016, the Buccaneers showed some improvement, finishing 9-7 and second overall in the NFC South. Tampa reloaded with a few notable names for the 2017 season, including WR DeSean Jackson, DE Chris Baker and FS JJ Wilcox.
Over on the Dolphins’ side, they’re coming off a preseason in which they went 2-2 overall. Miami beat the Falcons in Week 1 and the Vikings in Week 4, and fell to the Ravens and Eagles in between. In that Vikings game, Miami won 30-9, with WR Jakeem Grant catching four passes for 141 yards and a TD.
The Dolphins managed to go 10-6 and earn a Wild Card bid to the playoffs in 2016. Miami’s hopes were dashed in that opening round, however, with a 30-12 loss to the Steelers. After a season-ending injury to QB Ryan Tannehill, Miami will be relying on Jay Cutler under center, along with new arrivals like OLB Lawrence Timmons and G Ted Larsen.
The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. Tampa Bay is also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 1 and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
Meanwhile, Miami is 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week 1, and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 home games. The Dolphins are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games in September and the over is 5-0 in the Dolphins’ last five home games.
Both these teams showed some major improvement in 2016, and both have a legitimate shot at a playoff berth in 2017. Miami probably has a harder road due to their QB situation, but Cutler should settle in among a pretty talented offense. In the early-going, however, I think the Buccaneers have the edge and I’ll take Tampa for the Week 1 win.