Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers - 9/11/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Los Angeles Chargers (5-11) at Denver Broncos (9-7)
NFL Football: Monday, September 11, 2017 at 10:20 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)
The Line: Denver Broncos -3.5 -- Over/Under: 43.5 See the Latest Odds
We close out week one NFL action with an AFC West division tilt from Mile High, as the Denver Broncos host the L.A. Chargers.
The L.A. Chargers will look to start the season strong after a poor showing in the preseason, finishing 1-3 after a 23-13 loss to the 49ers in the preseason finale. Cardale Jones saw the bulk of the workload, going 18 of 24 for 158 yards and an interception. Mike Bercovici threw a pair of picks, going just 3 for 6 for 46 yards. Austin Ekeler and Kenyon Barner each logged 8 carried, with Ekeler outrushing Barner 50-28, while also leading the team with 58 yards receiving on 3 receptions while Barner and Jamaal Jones each hauled in 4 catches. Defensively, it was a busy night for the Chargers as Kyle Coleman’s fumble recovery and pick-six highlighted L.A.’s performance. The Chargers combined for 3 sacks, a pair of fumble recoveries and a forced fumble along with Coleman’s interception return for a TD.
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The Denver Broncos will look to continue their momentum after finishing the preseason unbeaten at 4-0 after their 30-2 rout over Arizona in the preseason finale. Kyle Sloter threw for 220 yards and a touchdown on 15 of 23 passing, while Stevan Ridley turned his team-high 11 carries into 51 yards and a touchdown. Juwan Thompson led the team with 56 rushing yards on 9 carries while Anthony Nash led the team in receiving with 46 yards on a pair of catches. Marlon Brown also caught a team-high 3 passes while Steven Scheu added a receiving touchdown. The Broncos recorded a pick-six of their own in their finale, with Dymonte Brown taking the interception back 57 yards to the house while Ken Ekanem logged a sack for Denver in the victory.
L.A. is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games while the over is 5-2 in their last 7 division matchups. Denver is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 division matchups and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. L.A. is 8-2-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these two teams in Denver and the road team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings between these two teams overall.
Maybe the Chargers being re-christened in L.A. will be a chance to start new, but until then, I need to see something from the Chargers before I can back them with confidence. Trevor Siemian will be more comfortable in his second season under centre in Denver, and the Broncos still have the defensive advantage, so I’ll lay the line with the Broncos as I don’t know what to expect from the Chargers.