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Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons - 9/17/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Green Bay Packers (1-0) at Atlanta Falcons (1-0)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 8:30 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)

The Line: Atlanta Falcons -3 -- Over/Under: 54 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons face off in week 2’s edition of Sunday Night Football from Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

The Green Bay Packers will look to build on their opening week victory, a 17-9 win over the Seattle Seahawks. Aaron Rodgers threw for 311 yards, a touchdown and an interception in the win. Ty Montgomery took his 19 carries and turned them into 54 yards and a touchdown to lead the ground attack for the Pack. Randall Cobb led Green Bay with 9 catches for 85 yards, while Jordy Nelson hauled in 7 passes for 79 yards and the team’s lone receiving touchdown in the victory. Defensively, Mike Daniels and Nick Perry combined for the 3 Green Bay sacks in the win, with Daniels also forcing a fumble as the Packers held Seattle to just 225 yards of total offense, 3 for 12 on 3rd down and just under 21 minutes with the ball in Seattle’s possession, dominating the T.O.P. battle.

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons - 9/17/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Falcons will also be looking to continue a strong start after defeating Chicago by a final score of 23-17 in their season opener. Matt Ryan threw for 321 yards and a touchdown on 21 of 30 passing, while Devonta Freeman led the way on the ground for Atlanta, rushing for 37 yards and a touchdown with his 12 carries. Austin Hooper led the Falcons with a pair of catches for 128 yards and a touchdown, while Julio Jones racked up 4 catches for 66 yards and Mohamed Sanu pulled in a team-high 6 grabs in the win. Defensively, the Falcons combined for 4 sacks, including a pair from Brooks Reed who also notched the game-winning 4th down sack with the Bears threatening at the Falcons’ 5-yard line with just seconds to play. Atlanta allowed the Bears to put up just over 300 yards in total offense, while splitting the time of possession almost directly in half.

Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a win while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the NFC and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a win while the over is 11-0 in their last 11 home games. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

I’m high on the Packers, as I usually am coming into the season over the last couple of years, and I was really impressed with their opening win. Matt Ryan is always a threat, especially at home, but I’m a bit alarmed with how the Bears were able to hang around for Atlanta and almost drive down the field to win the game last week, if it weren’t or Brooks Reed’s game-saving sack. The Packers aren’t new to these big game environments, and I think they come into Atlanta’s house and spoil the home opener, which is why I’ll take Green Bay and the free field goal.

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