New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots - 9/17/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots - 9/17/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (0-1) at New Orleans Saints (0-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, September 17, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Superdome)

The Line: New Orleans Saints +4.5 -- Over/Under: 53.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints meet Sunday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The New England Patriots need a bounce back victory after getting beat up Thursday by the Kansas City Chiefs, 42-27. The New England Patriots have won eight straight road games. Tom Brady is completing 44.4 percent of his passes for 267 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Brady has thrown zero interceptions in his last five games. Danny Amendola and Brandin Cooks have combined for 188 receiving yards on nine receptions while Rob Gronkowski has two receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 124 yards per contest, and Mike Gillislee leads the way with 45 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 42 points and 537 yards per game. Devin McCourty leads the New England Patriots with 10 tackles, Trey Flowers has two sacks and Stephon Gilmore has one pass deflection.

The New Orleans Saints also need their first victory after losing to the Minnesota Vikings, 29-19. The New Orleans Saints have won four of their last six home games. Drew Brees is completing 73 percent of his passes for 291 yards, one touchdown and zero interceptions. Brees has six touchdown passes in his last three games. Coby Fleener and Mark Ingram have combined for 108 receiving yards and one touchdown while Ted Ginn Jr. has four receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 60 yards per contest, and Adrian Peterson leads the way with 18 yards on six carries. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 29 points and 470 yards per game. A.J. Klein leads the New Orleans Saints with 11 tackles, Cameron Jordan has one sack and Alex Okafor has two tackles for loss.

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The Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September, 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Patriots rarely lose back-to-back games and Kansas City is a respectable team, so nobody should overreact after week one. However, the Pats defense clearly has some issues to deal with, and I'm not sure those can be fixed in a little over a week. Say what you want about the Saints, but they're really good at home and have the offensive firepower to expose New England's defense led by Brees. The Pats defense was so bad that I don't feel good laying chalk with them on the road the following week. This is one of those games that could be a shootout, so I'll feel good having a few points in my back pocket.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick New Orleans Saints +4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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