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Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers - 9/28/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Chicago Bears (1-2) at Green Bay Packers (2-1)

NFL Football: Thursday, September 28, 2017 at 8:25 pm (Lambeau Field)

The Line: Green Bay Packers -7.5 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NFLN, CBS, AMZN

On the Week 4 edition of the NFL’s “Thursday Night Football” up at Lambeau Field, the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers will be meeting up in a divisional rivalry game. 

The Bears enter this game with a 1-2 record so far, falling to the Falcons and the Buccaneers before bagging an improbable OT win over the Steelers on Sunday. In that Pittsburgh game, Chicago QB Mike Glennon posted 101 yards, one TD and one interception while Jordan Howard led the Bears in both rushing (23 carries; 138 yards; two TDs) and receiving (five receptions; 26 yards). 

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers - 9/28/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

So far this season, Glennon has 615 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions, while Howard has put up 197 yards and three scores on 45 attempts for the Bears. Chicago’s top receiver is Tarik Cohen, with 25 targets, 20 catches, 126 yards and one TD. 

Over on the Packers’ side, they’re currently 2-1 this season following a loss to Atlanta sandwiched between wins over Seattle and Cincinnati. In that Bengals game, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers went 28-of-42 for 313 yards, three scores and one pick, while Ty Montgomery led a tepid rush attack on 12 carries and 35 yards. Geronimo Allison was the top Green Bay receiver with six catches for 122 yards. 

Through three games so far, Rodgers has 967 yards, six scores and three interceptions, and Montgomery leads the Green Bay rushers with 124 yards and two scores on 41 attempts. Davante Adams is the Packers’ top receiver with 14 catches on 23 targets for 203 yards and one score. 

Chicago is 5-0 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bears are also 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in September. 

Meanwhile, the Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus the NFC. Green Bay is also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in September. 

This matchup gets a little extra boost following the Bears’ win last week, but if Chicago is going to hang around here, Howard has to have another monster game. As for Green Bay, their ground game is pretty bad (again), so they’ll be relying on Rodgers to carry the load (again). Still, if the Packers key in on Howard and force Glennon to make some throws, the Bears likely won’t be able to keep it close. I’ll take the Packers for the cover.

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