Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions - 10/1/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Detroit Lions (2-1) at Minnesota Vikings (2-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 1:00 pm (U.S. Bank Stadium)
The Line: Minnesota Vikings PK -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Detroit Lions and the Minnesota Vikings face off in an NFC North showdown in week 4 NFL action from U.S. Bank Stadium.
The Detroit Lions will look to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season, a 30-26 loss to the Atlanta Falcons to fall to 2-1 this season. Matthew Stafford completed 25 of his 45 pass attempts for 264 yards and a touchdown. Ameer Abdullah led the Lions with 47 rushing yards on 14 carries, while TJ Jones put up a team-high 63 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Golden Tate caught a team-high 7 passes for 58 yards and a touchdown while Theo Riddick added 4 catches and the aforementioned Abdullah caught 3 balls out of the backfield for 39 yards. The Lions defense combined for a pair of sacks and 3 interceptions, including a pair of picks from Darius Slay and a 37-yard pick-six from Glover Quin as Detroit still allowed 428 yards of total offense in the loss.
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The Minnesota Vikings will look to build on a 34-17 victory over Tampa Bay in week 3, pushing the Vikes’ record to 2-1 this season. Case Keenum had one of his best games as a pro, going 25 of 33 for 369 yards and 3 touchdowns in the win. Dalvin Cook added 97 rushing yards and a touchdown on 27 carries, while Stefon Diggs hauled in 8 balls for a whopping 173 receiving yards and 2 TDs. The aforementioned Cook and Adam Thielen each hauled in 5 passes, with Thielen notching 98 yards to Cook’s 72, and Jairus Wright added a receiving TD of his own in the win. Defensively, the Vikings logged a pair of sacks and 3 picks as well, all while holding Tampa Bay to just 342 yards of total offense and a 1 for 6 mark on 3rd down in the win.
Detroit is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 division matchups and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 21-7 in their last 28 road games. Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 division matchups and 24-7 ATS in their last 31 home games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Detroit is 3-7-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two teams in Minnesota.
Sam Bradford’s status under center for Minnesota is still up in the air, but even if he’s healthy, after week 3, I don’t know why you wouldn’t give Keenum another shot here. As far as a pick goes however, the Lions have to be crushed a bit after having a win taken away from them after a video review in the dying seconds, while Minnesota has used home field to their advantage over the last few years, covering the spread in over 75% of their 31 home games over that span. With this line being a pick 'em, and how well the Lions’ struggles in Minnesota are documented and I think the Vikings can notch another W here so I’ll back Minnesota.