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New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 10/1/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) at New York Jets (1-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 1, 2017 at 1:00 pm (MetLife Stadium)

The Line: New York Jets +3.5 -- Over/Under: 39.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium.

The Jacksonville Jaguars look for another road victory to get off to a surprising 3-1 start. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost six of their last seven road games. Blake Bortles is completing 59.3 percent of his passes for 592 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Bortles has one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Allen Hurns and Marqise Lee have combined for 285 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Chris Ivory has six receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 140 yards per contest, and Leonard Fournette leads the way with 199 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 17 points and 259.7 yards per game. Myles Jack leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 24 tackles, Calais Campbell has 4.5 sacks and Telvin Smith has one interception. 

New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 10/1/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Jets look for another home victory to get back to a .500 record. The New York Jets have lost four of their last six home games. Josh McCown is completing 69.8 percent of his passes for 602 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. McCown has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Jermaine Kearse and Robby Anderson have combined for 310 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Matt Forte has six receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 89 yards per contest, and Forte leads the way with 94 yards on 23 carries. Defensively, New York is allowing 24 points and 347.7 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New York Jets with 32 tackles, Darron Lee has one sack and Terrence Brooks has two interceptions.

The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Jets are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in New York, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings and the road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

This is a tough game to predict given the travel situation for the Jaguars, as it’s not easy to return to London and play in the states, especially when you’re playing a road game. The NFL did the Jags no favors in this spot. The Jets also played defense last week against the Dolphins and for the first time in a while looked like an NFL team. I was strongly considering taking the Jets and the free points, but the Jaguars have been lightyears the more impressive team overall, as they waxed both the Texans and the Ravens. Take away last weeks performance, and the Jets get little from its offense and the defense gets gashed against the run. The only reason not to lay the chalk is because of the constant travel Jacksonville has been doing leading up to this game and that usually catches up to teams. However, I’m going to roll the dice here and back the better and more talented team.

I'm not trying to over think things here.

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