Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills - 10/8/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Buffalo Bills (3-1) at Cincinnati Bengals (1-3)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 1:00 pm (Paul Brown Stadium)
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals -3 -- Over/Under: 38.5 See the Latest Odds
The Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals meet Sunday in NFL action at Paul Brown Stadium.
The Buffalo Bills look for another strong road victory to build on their improbable 3-1 start to the NFL season. The Buffalo Bills have lost five of their last seven road games. Tyrod Taylor is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 744 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. Taylor has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Charles Clay and LeSean McCoy have combined for 390 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jordan Matthews has 10 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 112.8 yards per contest, and McCoy leads the way with 216 yards on 68 carries. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 13.5 points and 306.5 yards per game. Ramon Humber leads the Buffalo Bills with 37 tackles, Jerry Hughes has three sacks and Micah Hyde has three interceptions.
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The Cincinnati Bengals need another victory in order to climb out of their deep 1-3 hole. The Cincinnati Bengals have lost four of their last six home games. Andy Dalton is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 892 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions. Dalton has one or less touchdown passes in eight of his last 12 games. A.J. Green and Giovani Bernard have combined for 449 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Tyler Kroft has 10 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 88.8 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 136 yards on 52 carries. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 16.8 points and 273.3 yards per game. Nick Vigil leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 34 tackles, Geno Atkins has three sacks and Clayton Fejedelem has one interception.
The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bengals are 2-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win. The Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Cincinnati, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings and the over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
The Buffalo Bills have been solid and have one of the better defenses in the league. The Bills are also coming off a shocking road win over the Atlanta Falcons. However, that's kind of why I like the Bengals in this spot. The Bills are riding high with this fast start and they're not used to being in this position often. Back-to-back road games isn't easy, and if we're being honest, that victory over the Falcons last week didn't feature Julio Jones or Mohamed Sanu in the second half. The Bengals got their feel good victory and are coming home for the first time since week 2. Dalton is starting to find his groove a little bit and the Cincy defense is fourth in the league in yards allowed per game. I'm not buying the Bills hype just yet. I'll lay the field goal with the Bengals in this spot.