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Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 10/8/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) at Houston Texans (2-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 8:30 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans +1.5 -- Over/Under: 47 See the Latest Odds


The Kansas City Chiefs and Houston Texans meet Sunday in NFL action at NRG Stadium on NBC.

The Kansas City Chiefs look for another victory to start 5-0 for the first time since the 2013 season. The Kansas City Chiefs have won eight straight road games. Alex Smith is completing 76 percent of his passes for 1,067 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions. Smith has two or more touchdown passes in three of his last five games. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 543 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Albert Wilson has 14 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 163.5 yards per contest, and Kareem Hunt leads the way with 502 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 19 points and 369 yards per game. Terrance Mitchell leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 22 tackles, Justin Houston has four sacks and Chris Jones has two forced fumbles.

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Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 10/8/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Houston Texans look for back-to-back victories to get a game above a .500 record. The Houston Texans have won eight of their last 10 home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 811 yards, seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Watson has a combined six touchdown passes in his last two games. DeAndre Hopkins and Lamar Miller have combined for 431 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Bruce Ellington has seven receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 139.8 yards per contest, and Miller leads the way with 257 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Houston is allowing 22 points and 291.5 yards per game. Benardrick McKinney leads the Houston Texans with 25 tackles, Jadeveon Clowney has three sacks and Andre Hal has two interceptions.

The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Texans are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 5, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 11-2 in Texans last 13 games in October and the over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games overall.

The Kansas City Chiefs have been the most impressive team in the league in the first month, but they're playing this game on short rest and are banged up quite heavily on the offensive line. Eric Fisher has been dealing with back issues, Mitch Morse is out with a foot injury, Parker Ehinger has a knee issue and Laurent Duvernay-Tardif just suffered a knee injury that will keep him out. The interior of the Chiefs offensive line is struggling to hold up, and that will continue to be the case with Clowney and Watt pinning their ears back. The Texans are also playing great football right now, as Watson is coming into his own despite a lack of experience, and they've produced a combined 90 points in their last two games. The NRG Stadium is going to be jacked up for this one. I'm buying into the Texans right now, especially in this spot based on the Chiefs injury issues. Texans win this game ouright.

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