New York Jets at Cleveland Browns - 10/8/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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New York Jets (2-2) at Cleveland Browns (0-4)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 8, 2017 at 1:00 pm (FirstEnergy Stadium)
The Line: Cleveland Browns -1.5 -- Over/Under: 39.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
On Sunday out at FirstEnergy Stadium, we’ve got Week 5 NFL action coming between the New York Jets and the Cleveland Browns.
The Jets have already outperformed many expectations with their 2-2 record this year. New York started 0-2 after losses to the Bills and Raiders, but beat Miami and Jacksonville in their most recent two games. In that OT Jaguars win, Jets QB Josh McCown posted 224 yards and an interception, while Bilal Powell broke out with 21 carries for 163 yards and a TD.
So far this season, McCown has 826 yards, three scores and three picks, and Powell leads the Jets on the ground with his 49 rushes, 235 yards and two touchdowns. Robby Anderson is New York’s top receiver; he’s posted 204 yards and a TD on 12 catches and 24 targets.
Over on the Browns’ side, they’re currently 0-4, recording losses to the Steelers, Ravens, Colts and Bengals. In that Cincinnati game, Browns QB DeShone Kizer went 16-of-34 for 118 yards and a pick, while Isaiah Crowell led a meager rushing game on seven carries and 20 yards.
On the year, Kizer leads the Browns in passing with 764 yards, three touchdowns and eight picks; Crowell is the top rusher with 134 yards on 46 attempts. Duke Johnson Jr. is Cleveland’s leading receiver with his 207 yards on 28 targets and 20 catches.
The Jets are 2-5 ATS in the last seven games following a straight-up win and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games on grass. New York is also 1-4 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
Meanwhile, the Browns are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 versus the AFC and 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss. Cleveland is also 6-23-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Kizer has the confidence of the coaching staff in Cleveland, but that doesn’t help much when he’s completing just 51.4 percent of his throws. The rush is equally bad for the Browns, as they’re averaging only 3.6 YPC as a team, and Crowell is averaging 2.9 YPC. As for the Jets, they’re not blowing anyone’s minds either but the defense has held opponents to 21 points or fewer in three of their four games, and that helps keep things manageable for their offense. Still, neither team here is good, and we’re likely to see a lot of sloppy and uninspiring play. New York will do well enough this year to earn another pick outside the top 5 or 10 in the 2018 draft (which really isn’t a step forward), and part of that should come here. I’ll take the Jets for the cover and win.