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New York Jets vs. New England Patriots - 10/15/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (3-2) at New York Jets (3-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 15, 2017 at 1:00 pm (MetLife Stadium)

The Line: New York Jets +9.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The New England Patriots and New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium.

The New England Patriots look to remain unbeaten on the road to pull away in the watered down AFC East. The New England Patriots have won 10 straight road games. Tom Brady is completing 68.2 percent of his passes for 1,702 yards, 11 touchdowns and one interception. Brady has eight touchdown passes in his last three games. Brandin Cooks and Rob Gronkowski have combined for 697 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Chris Hogan has 23 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 99 yards per contest, and Mike Gillislee leads the way with 246 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 28.4 points and 447.2 yards per game. Devin McCourty leads the New England Patriots with 42 tackles, Trey Flowers has 3.5 sacks and Stephon Gilmore has one interception.  

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots - 10/15/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Jets look to keep shocking the NFL world with an improbable fourth straight victory. The New York Jets have won three straight home games. Josh McCown is completing 71.4 percent of his passes for 1,020 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. McCown has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Jermaine Kearse and Robby Anderson have combined for 440 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Jeremy Kerley has 17 receptions. The New York Jets ground game is averaging 111.4 yards per contest, and Bilal Powell leads the way with 240 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 23 points and 338.5 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New York Jets with 46 tackles, David Bass has two sacks and Terrence Brooks has two interceptions.

The Patriots are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games, 41-17-3 ATS in their last 61 games in October and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New York, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the over is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings.

I've made it clear last week that I don't like what I've seen from the New England Patriots, as that defense has issues and the offense isn't as sharp with all of the injuries. There's just a lot of worry with the team many questioned if it could run the table. The Jets were expected to be the worst team in the league this season but have won three straight and now have something to play for while we're still young in the season. There's reasons to take the value with the Jets and the points at home. However, the Pats defense was better last week, and they have had a week and a half to prepare for this game. While wins are wins in the NFL, the Jets beat Miami, Jacksonville and Cleveland, all teams that are likely going to be at home during the playoffs. Also, this is McCown against Brady we're talking about. I won't be playing this game, but a Patriots blowout is more likely than the Jets hanging around. 

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