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Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots - 10/22/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Falcons (3-2) at New England Patriots (4-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 22, 2017 at 8:30 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots -3 -- Over/Under: 56.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots meet Sunday in NFL action at Gillette Stadium on NBC.

The Atlanta Falcons hope to avoid three straight losses and dropping back to a .500 record. The Atlanta Falcons have won four straight road games. Matt Ryan is completing 65.9 percent of his passes for 1,357 yards, six touchdowns and six interceptions. Ryan has one touchdown pass in four of his first five games. Julio Jones and Austin Hooper have combined for 609 receiving yards and one touchdown while Taylor Gabriel has 14 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 120.6 yards per contest, and Devonta Freeman leads the way with 353 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 21.8 points and 312.4 yards per game. Deion Jones leads the Atlanta Falcons with 38 tackles, Brooks Reed has three sacks and Desmond Trufant has one interception. 

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Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots - 10/22/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots look for a statement victory here after winning four of their last five games. The New England Patriots have won seven of their last 11 home games. Tom Brady is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 1,959 yards, 13 touchdowns and two interceptions. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last five games. Brandin Cooks and Rob Gronkowski have combined for 873 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Chris Hogan has 24 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 102.2 yards per contest, and Mike Gillislee leads the way with 290 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 26.5 points and 440.7 yards per game. Devin McCourty leads the New England Patriots with 47 tackles, Trey Flowers has 3.5 sacks and Malcolm Butler has two interceptions.

The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Patriots are 26-12-2 ATS in their last 40 home games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss and 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games overall. The Falcons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings, the road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

The Patriots struggles have been well documented, as their defense is dead last in the NFL right now in terms of yards allowed per game. They've only allowed a combined 31 points in their last two games, but you can move the ball against this defense. However, the Falcons are showing issues of their own, as they've lost back-to-back games to AFC East teams, including allowing the Miami Dolphins to comeback despite being down 17-0 at halftime. Ryan hasn't looked like himself the past couple of weeks and it's tough to ignore that when going into a place that's very tough to win. I don't feel strong about either one of these teams, but if forced to pick, I have slightly more trust in Brady and the New England Patriots finding a way to come out on top.

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