Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins - 10/26/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Miami Dolphins (4-2) at Baltimore Ravens (3-4)
NFL Football: Thursday, October 26, 2017 at 8:25 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)
The Line: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 -- Over/Under: 37.5 See the Latest Odds
The Miami Dolphins and Baltimore Ravens meet Thursday in NFL action at M&T Bank Stadium.
The Miami Dolphins look for their fourth straight victory to keep pace in whats a wide open AFC East division race. The Miami Dolphins have won six of their last eight road games. Matt Moore is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 188 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Moore, who will get the start over the injured Jay Cutler, has a combined 119 pass attempts in the last five seasons. Jarvis Landry and Kenny Stills have combined for 613 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while DeVante Parker has 19 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 81.7 yards per contest, and Jay Ajayi leads the way with 442 yards on 125 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 18.7 points and 308.2 yards per game. Reshad Jones leads the Miami Dolphins with 40 tackles, Cameron Wake has six sacks and Bobby McCain has one interception.
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The Baltimore Ravens need a win here after losing four of their last five games to get back to a .500 record. The Baltimore Ravens have won six of their last eight home games. Joe Flacco is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 1,189 yards, five touchdowns and eight interceptions. Flacco has two combined touchdown passes in his last five games. Mike Wallace and Benjamin Watson have combined for 462 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Jeremy Maclin has 16 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 120.1 yards per contest, and Alex Collins leads the way with 365 yards on 62 carries. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 21.1 points and 334.6 yards per game. C.J. Mosley leads the Baltimore Ravens with 64 tackles, Terrell Suggs has 4.5 sacks and Brandon Carr has three interceptions.
The Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 8. The Ravens are 5-14-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss, 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games in October and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. The Dolphins are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings, the underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings and the road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
The Dolphins have been finding ways to win games each of the last three weeks, scratching and clawing to victory, even if it isn't pretty. We knew the Dolphins had one of the top defenses in the league, but the injury to Cutler could be a blessing in disguise. Moore brings life to this Dolphins offense, as he threw two touchdown passes in the comeback against the New York Jets on just 21 pass attempts, and let's not forget he went 3-1 in replace of Ryan Tannehill to take Miami to the playoffs. Moore pushes the ball downfield more than what we've seen with Cutler and isn't scared to use the weapons this offense has on the outside. The Baltimore Ravens aren't the same Baltimore Ravens from years past, as the offense has scored 16 or less points in three of their last five games and there's some bad losses on that resume. The only victory the Ravens have since Week 3 was against the Oakland Raiders when EJ Manuel was at quarterback. The Dolphins defense is good enough to keep the Ravens in check, and the start of Moore is likely going to improve the offense in the short term. It's no longer going to be dink and dunk.
We're getting points with the better team, and while Thursday games are very weird and hard to predict, I don't turn down points with the better team. Give me Miami and the points.