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Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 11/5/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) at Dallas Cowboys (4-3)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 5, 2017 at 4:25 pm (AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Dallas Cowboys PK -- Over/Under: 49 See the Latest Odds

TV: CBS

The Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in NFL action at AT&T Stadium.  

The Kansas City Chiefs look for their seventh win of the season to build on their lead in the AFC West before their bye week. The Kansas City Chiefs have won nine of their last 10 road games. Alex Smith is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 2,181 yards, 16 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Smith has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last nine games. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have combined for 1,109 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Kareem Hunt has 28 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 122.8 yards per contest, and Hunt leads the way with 763 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 22.5 points and 392.3 yards per game. Daniel Sorensen leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 48 tackles, Justin Houston has 7.5 sacks and Marcus Peters has three interceptions. 

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Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs - 11/5/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Dallas Cowboys look for a third straight victory to stay in the NFC East division race. The Dallas Cowboys have won eight of their last 10 home games. Dak Prescott is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 1,569 yards, 14 touchdowns and four interceptions. Prescott has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Dez Byrant and Jason Witten have combined for 680 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Terrance Williams has 21 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 150.6 yards per contest, and Ezekiel Elliott leads the way with 690 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 23 points and 324.9 yards per game. Jaylon Smith leads the Dallas Cowboys with 47 tackles, DeMarcus Lawrence has 10.5 sacks and Anthony Brown has one interception.

The Chiefs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. The over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games overall and the over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games overall.

In pick em games, I tend to usually give the edge to the home team, but in this case we're getting the better team on the road with no chalk. I have to side with the Kansas City Chiefs. Kansas City continues to play clean football and has the second best turnover differential behind only the Buffalo Bills. That has a lot to do with why the Chiefs have such an incredible road record dating back to last season. The Cowboys just lost the bread and butter of their offense in Elliott, which forces Prescott to be more than a game manager, which he's been most of his career up to this point. Also, while wins are wins in this league, the Cowboys four victories have come against teams that have a combined record of 7-22. The Kansas City Chiefs are simply the better team and have been in these tough road games time and time again to only come out on top. I like the road team in this spot. 

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