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Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots - 11/12/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New England Patriots (6-2) at Denver Broncos (3-5)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 12, 2017 at 8:30 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)

The Line: Denver Broncos +7.5 -- Over/Under: 46 See the Latest Odds

TV: NBC

The New England Patriots and Denver Broncos meet Sunday in NFL action at Sports Authority Field at Mile High on NBC.

The New England Patriots look to build on their four-game winning streak to extend their lead in the AFC East. The New England Patriots haven’t lost a regular season road game since January of 2016. Tom Brady is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 2,541 yards, 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. Brady has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Brandin Cooks and Rob Gronkowski have combined for 1,072 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Chris Hogan has 33 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 109 yards per contest, and Mike Gillislee leads the way with 355 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 22.4 points and 417 yards per game. Devin McCourty leads the New England Patriots with 58 tackles, Trey Flowers has 3.5 sacks and Malcolm Butler has two interceptions. 

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Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots - 11/12/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Denver Broncos need a win here in order to snap a four-game losing streak to stay alive in the AFC wild card conversation. The Denver Broncos have won six of their last nine home games. Brock Osweiler is completing 50 percent of his passes for 226 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Osweiler has one or less touchdown passes in 10 of his last 13 games. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 821 receiving yards and three touchdowns while A.J. Derby has 18 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 112.4 yards per contest, and C.J. Anderson leads the way with 482 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Denver is allowing 24.8 points and 280.8 yards per game. Brandon Marshall leads the Denver Broncos with 57 tackles, Von Miller has eight sacks and Justin Simmons has one interception.

The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Denver, the home team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Denver. The over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games in November and the under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games overall.

I don't like laying big chalk on the road, but again I ask, what have the Denver Broncos shown you in the last month that makes you think they can hang around with a playoff team? We laid the touchdown last week with the Eagles and that game was over at halftime. Osweiler isn't much of an upgrade to Siemian and the Broncos offense overall is averaging 13 points per game during their four-game losing streak. Besides being at home in a primetime game, there's just not much here to get excited about. The Patriots defense has picked things up over the last month, and they've had an extra week to prepare for this game while getting guys such as Stephon Gilmore and Malcom Brown closer to the field. This is a game where the Patriots should blow things wide open if both teams stay in their current form. Give me the Pats by double digits.

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