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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings - 11/23/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota Vikings (8-2) at Detroit Lions (6-4)

NFL Football: Thursday, November 23, 2017 at 12:30 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions +2 -- Over/Under: 44.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FOX

The Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions meet Thanksgiving in NFL action at Ford Field.

The Minnesota Vikings look for their seventh straight victory to keep pace for the top seed in the NFC. The Minnesota Vikings have won three straight road games. Case Keenum is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 2,194 yards, 12 touchdowns and five interceptions. Keenum has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs have combined for 1,448 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Kyle Rudolph has 42 receptions. The Minnesota Vikings ground game is averaging 123.3 yards per contest, and Latavius Murray leads the way with 412 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 17.2 points and 290.5 yards per game. Eric Kendricks leads the Minnesota Vikings with 75 tackles, Everson Griffen has 10 sacks and Harrison Smith has three interceptions. 

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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings - 11/23/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions look for a fourth straight victory to increase their chances of making the postseason. The Detroit Lions have lost three of their last four home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 63.1 percent of his passes for 2,760 yards, 19 touchdowns and five interceptions. Stafford has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last six games. Golden Tate and Marvin Jones Jr. have combined for 1,313 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while TJ Jones has 24 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 80.8 yards per contest, and Ameer Abdullah leads the way with 491 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 23.4 points and 354.5 yards per game. Tahir Whitehead leads the Detroit Lions with 61 tackles, Anthony Zettel has six sacks and Darius Slay has four interceptions.

The Vikings are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, 15-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games overall. The Lions are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings, the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

I hate trying to cap Thursday games due to teams not having the right amount of time to prepare, we usually get sloppy play and it seems like the opposite happens whenever I predict games in the middle of the week. The Vikings are one of the hottest teams in the league, as the defense has allowed 17 or less points in seven of their last eight games and the offense does just enough to close the deal. The Lions have been hit or miss all season and haven't played well at home, but they are on a three-game winning streak and are used to playing on Thanksgiving where they've actually won four straight there as well. Stafford does have that brutal record against winning teams in his career, which would make the Vikings the obvious pick. Even with everything pointing to Minnesota, I'm going to back the Lions here. Detroit seems due for a win against a contender, as it lost to Pittsburgh, Carolina and Atlanta by a combined 12 points. If the Lions are ready to take that next step, this is the game they have to win at home. I'll take my two points. 

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