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Los Angeles Chargers at Dallas Cowboys - 11/23/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Los Angeles Chargers (4-6) at Dallas Cowboys (5-5)

NFL Football: Thursday, November 23, 2017 at 4:30 pm (AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Dallas Cowboys PK -- Over/Under: 48 See the Latest Odds


The Los Angeles Chargers and the Dallas Cowboys face off in an inter-conference showdown from AT&T Stadium on Thanksgiving Thursday.

The Los Angeles Chargers come into this one looking to continue their momentum after a 54-24 beatdown of the Buffalo Bills last time out. Philip Rivers threw for 251 yards and 2 touchdowns on 20 of 32 passing, while Melvin Gordon led L.A. in rushing with 80 yards and a touchdown on 20 carries and Austin Ekeler added 40 yards and a touchdown on 6 carries. Keenan Allen caught 12 passes for 159 yards and a pair of Charger touchdowns, while Mike Williams added 5 catches for 38 yards as the next man on the list. Defense ruled the day for the Chargers as L.A. combined for a sack, 5 interceptions, a forced fumble which they also recovered and a pair of defensive TDs thanks to a Korey Toomer 59-yard pick-six to open the scoring and a 39-yard Melvin Ingram fumble return for a score in the 3rd quarter.

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Los Angeles Chargers at Dallas Cowboys - 11/23/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Dallas Cowboys will look to rebound after a humiliating 37-9 loss to their division rival in the Philadelphia Eagles to drop to 5-5 this season. Dak Prescott completed 18 of his 31 pass attempts for 145 yards and 3 interceptions, while Alfred Morris led the team with 91 rushing yards on 17 carries. Dez Bryant led the team with 8 catches for 63 yards, while Terrance Williams caught 4 passes for 35 yards in 2nd spot on the Cowboys’ receiving list. Defensively, the Cowboys held the Eagles to 383 yards of total offense and a 5 for 14 mark on 3rd down in the losing effort, but ultimately couldn’t move the ball on offense, leading to prime field possession for the Eagles to start almost every drive.

Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Dallas is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games while the under is 3-1 in their last 4 games overall.

I was worried about Dallas down the stretch without Elliott, and last week’s loss proved just that. Sure it was against the Eagles, who are arguably the best team in the NFC, and the Cowboys actually led at the half. But then the Cowboys were outscored 30-0 in the 2nd half. Without Dallas, the offense falls heavily onto Prescott and the offense can become one-dimensional and easy to predict. The Chargers are starting to find their groove and I actually have the Chargers as a dark horse to make the playoffs down the stretch, especially if they keep playing how they did last week. I’m going to side with the Chargers on the road in a pick ‘em, but more so as a fade from Dallas without Zeke.

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