Buffalo Bills vs. Indianapolis Colts - 12/10/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Indianapolis Colts (3-9) at Buffalo Bills (6-6)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 10, 2017 at 1:00 pm (New Era Field)
The Line: Buffalo Bills +1 -- Over/Under:
The Indianapolis Colts and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action at New Era Field.
The Indianapolis Colts could use a feel good victory after losing six of their last seven games. The Indianapolis Colts have lost five of their last six road games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 60.4 percent of his passes for 2,542 yards, 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Brissett has one or less touchdown passes in seven of his last 10 games. T.Y. Hilton and Jack Doyle have combined for 1,351 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Donte Moncrief has 26 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 99.1 yards per contest, and Frank Gore leads the way with 632 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 27.5 points and 380 yards per game. Jonathan Bostic leads the Indianapolis Colts with 88 tackles, Jabaal Sheard has 4.5 sacks and Rashaan Melvin has three interceptions.
The Buffalo Bills need a victory here to get a game above a .500 record and remain in the AFC wild card race. The Buffalo Bills have won four of their last six home games. Tyrod Taylor is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 2,090 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions. Taylor has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last last four games. Charles Clay and LeSean McCoy have combined for 682 receiving yards and three touchdowns while Zay Jones has 25 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 122 yards per contest, and McCoy leads the way with 851 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 25 points and 366.8 yards per game. Preston Brown leads the Buffalo Bills with 100 tackles, Shaq Lawson has four sacks and Micah Hyde has five interceptions.
The Colts are 32-13 ATS in their last 45 games following a straight up loss, 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 games following a ATS loss and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Bills are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss, 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Colts are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings, the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
There's still questions if Tyrod Taylor is going to play or not due to a knee injury, but even then, I'm going to back the Buffalo Bills in pretty much a pick em spot at home. The Bills still have a shot to remain in the playoff race with a victory here and the Colts still find ways to lose games despite being able to hang in most of their games. If Nathan Peterman needs to start, he has some experience after playing against the Chargers, and the Bills should rely more on the running game playing in Buffalo. It's expected to be high 20s with potential snow, so the team with the better defense and ground game will have the advantage. Not to mention the Colts are a dome team that's not truly used to playing in that type of weather this time of year. No matter who plays at QB, I give the edge to the Bills.