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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers - 12/16/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Los Angeles Chargers (7-6) at Kansas City Chiefs (7-6)

NFL Football: Saturday, December 16, 2017 at 8:25 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs +2 -- Over/Under: 45.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NFL

The Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs meet Saturday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Los Angeles Chargers look for their fifth straight victory to keep them in the thick of the AFC playoff race. The Los Angeles Chargers have won three of their last five road games. Philip Rivers is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 3,611 yards, 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Rivers has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last seven games. Keenan Allen and Tyrell Williams have combined for 1,723 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Hunter Henry has 42 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 99.5 yards per contest, and Melvin Gordon leads the way with 853 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 17.3 points and 325.1 yards per game. Jahleel Addae leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 83 tackles, Joey Bosa has 11.5 sacks and Tre Boston has four interceptions. 

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Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Chargers - 12/16/17 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs look for back-to-back victories for the first time since the beginning of October to stay in the AFC playoff race. The Kansas City Chiefs have won four of their last six home games. Alex Smith is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 3,507 yards, 23 touchdowns and five interceptions. Smith has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last eight games. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 1,931 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while Kareem Hunt has 42 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 116.6 yards per contest, and Hunt leads the way with 1,046 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 22.2 points and 373.4 yards per game. Daniel Sorensen leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 80 tackles, Justin Houston has 9.5 sacks and Marcus Peters has three interceptions.

The Chargers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Saturday games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC West and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings and the road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I came into this game thinking the Chargers were going to be the underdog, and I was going to jump all over it. Seeing that the Kansas City Chiefs are getting points kind of makes me lean to the home team. One, Kansas City has won the last seven meetings against Los Angeles, not losing to the Chargers since December of 2013. Also, neither of these teams are the way the public views them. Many are saying the Chargers are contenders after four straight wins, but those wins came against teams with a combined record of 19-33. Many are quick to write the Chiefs off after a brutal losing stretch, but they're still the same roster that got off to an impressive start and still have a shot to win the AFC West. These teams are probably somewhere in the middle of where many view them. Short rest and at home, I like the Kansas City Chiefs in this spot. 

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